crabflip
0xb3074368b437d26742f18d04378397f4e08269fd
- Realised P&L
- $-105.91
- Volume
- $10.9k
- Markets traded
- 192
- Open portfolio
- $45.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded192
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration4.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.76at 0.300Will Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?
- +$24.02at 0.434Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on August 30?
- +$22.01at 0.41249ers vs. Raiders
- +$20.24at 0.432Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Liberty
- +$17.69at 0.742Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 08:25 | Will Venezuela win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.77 | $3.85 |
| 10-06 08:25 | Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) | BUY | 0.69 | $3.45 |
| 10-06 08:25 | Will Aruba win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.7 | $3.50 |
| 10-06 08:25 | Games Total: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.7 | $3.50 |
| 10-06 08:25 | Map Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) | BUY | 0.68 | $3.40 |
| 10-06 08:25 | Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5) | BUY | 0.67 | $3.35 |
| 10-06 08:25 | Scotland vs. Slovenia: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.63 | $3.15 |
| 10-06 08:25 | Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.63 | $3.15 |
| 10-06 08:25 | Albania vs. San Marino: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 10-06 08:25 | LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | BUY | 0.53 | $2.65 |
| 10-06 08:25 | Will Luxembourg win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.58 | $2.90 |
| 10-06 08:25 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.53 | $2.65 |
| 10-06 08:25 | Croatia vs. Spain: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.56 | $2.80 |
| 10-06 08:25 | Ravens vs. Falcons: O/U 45.5 | BUY | 0.52 | $2.60 |
| 10-05 07:10 | Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs G2 - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.76 | $3.80 |