PolyBot

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Traders

0xb305d384400e3d7A15780216a55368EA17372

0xb305d384400e3d7a15780216a55368ea677eca4e

Realised P&L
$82.4k
Volume
$2.76M
Markets traded
4,183
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar3.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded4,183
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration66.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.5300.310$859.84−$611.20
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.3470.150$404.34−$532.51
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.9500.994$9.94+$0.44
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.2490.548$5.49+$3.00
Decibel FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.7200.480$4.80−$2.40
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.4590.969$4.21+$2.22
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET · Up0.0810.000$0.00−$81.44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET · Down0.3040.000$0.00−$60.83
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET · Down0.2170.000$0.00−$303.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET · Down0.0300.000$0.00−$15.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET · Down0.3860.000$0.00−$1.2k
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET · Down0.6270.000$0.00−$501.91
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET · Up0.2860.000$0.00−$199.04
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET · Up0.5060.000$0.00−$369.63
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET · Down0.0860.000$0.00−$153.97

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-17 12:08Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETSELL0.07$7.00
10-17 12:07Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETBUY0.93$372.00
10-17 12:07Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETBUY0.54$54.00
09-15 05:44Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETBUY0.833968254$157.62
09-15 05:44Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETBUY0.1253212409$36.96
09-15 05:44Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETBUY0.1082109105$21.64
09-15 04:56Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ETBUY0.081444$81.44
09-15 02:28Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETBUY0.13$13.00
09-15 02:28Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETBUY0.19215$38.43
09-15 02:26Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETBUY0.38$38.00
09-15 02:26Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETBUY0.36$30.24
09-15 02:25Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETBUY0.38$38.00
09-15 02:24Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETBUY0.612$61.20
09-15 02:24Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETBUY0.66$66.00
09-15 02:18Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETBUY0.7$70.00