PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xb305d384400e3d7A15780216a55368EA17372

0xb305d384400e3d7a15780216a55368ea677eca4e

Realised P&L
$88.7k
Volume
$2.75M
Markets traded
4,123
Open portfolio
$2.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
CautionMarkets traded4,123
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration68.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.5300.490$1.4k$111.94
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.3470.230$619.99$316.86
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.9500.877$8.77$0.73
Decibel FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.7200.445$4.45$2.75
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.2490.335$3.35+$0.86
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.4590.710$3.09+$1.09

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-11 02:59Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ETBUY0.17$7.71
07-11 02:58Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ETBUY0.12$12.00
07-11 02:58Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ETBUY0.14$14.00
07-11 02:55Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ETBUY0.48$96.00
07-11 02:52Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ETBUY0.51$102.00
07-11 02:52Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ETBUY0.5$100.00
07-11 02:49Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ETBUY0.1295$12.95
07-11 02:49Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ETBUY0.53$53.00
07-11 02:48Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ETBUY0.4926014873$40.41
07-11 02:48Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ETBUY0.54$108.00
07-11 02:47Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ETBUY0.57$114.00
07-11 02:47Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ETBUY0.32$32.00
07-11 02:47Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ETBUY0.56$56.00
07-11 02:46Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ETBUY0.5561878453$102.68
07-11 02:28Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ETBUY0.61$61.00