0xb305d384400e3d7A15780216a55368EA17372
0xb305d384400e3d7a15780216a55368ea677eca4e
- Realised P&L
- $96.3k
- Volume
- $2.80M
- Markets traded
- 4,182
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- CautionMarkets traded4,182
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.9kat 0.570Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
- +$7.7kat 0.582Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
- +$6.7kat 0.333Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
- +$3.8kat 0.061XRP Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
- +$2.6kat 0.195Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 05:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET | BUY | 0.833968254 | $157.62 |
| 09-15 05:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET | BUY | 0.1253212409 | $36.96 |
| 09-15 05:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET | BUY | 0.1082109105 | $21.64 |
| 09-15 04:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET | BUY | 0.081444 | $81.44 |
| 09-15 02:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET | BUY | 0.13 | $13.00 |
| 09-15 02:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET | BUY | 0.19215 | $38.43 |
| 09-15 02:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET | BUY | 0.38 | $38.00 |
| 09-15 02:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET | BUY | 0.36 | $30.24 |
| 09-15 02:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET | BUY | 0.38 | $38.00 |
| 09-15 02:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET | BUY | 0.612 | $61.20 |
| 09-15 02:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET | BUY | 0.66 | $66.00 |
| 09-15 02:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET | BUY | 0.7 | $70.00 |
| 09-15 02:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $12.00 |
| 09-12 09:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.8211186667 | $246.34 |
| 09-12 09:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET | BUY | 0.4150295 | $166.01 |