Thurmer-Gyula
0xb2ffbbd2b0689fde2d11cbc71b4275c74138544e
- Realised P&L
- $-13.38
- Volume
- $3.5k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $52.25
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? · No | 0.662 | 1.000 | $50.00 | +$16.90 |
| Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.002 | $2.25 | −$10.75 |
| Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize? · No | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.00 |
| Will J.D. Vance be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.47at 0.356Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-13 20:53 | Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 01-10 00:08 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.37 | $99.79 |