0xb2F60a5bd762EBa7E3C9B43D8d4030B9910ddAD2-1768482158483
0xb2f60a5bd762eba7e3c9b43d8d4030b9910ddad2
- Realised P&L
- $-130.34
- Volume
- $13.7k
- Markets traded
- 67
- Open portfolio
- $1.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded67
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huddle FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No | 0.965 | 0.931 | $0.96 | −$0.04 |
| Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No | 0.840 | 0.275 | $0.33 | −$0.67 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? · No | 0.880 | 0.074 | $0.17 | −$1.83 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? · No | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.27 |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.26 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $185 on February 26? · Yes | 0.994 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No | 0.870 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.67 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $370 on March 20? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Mobile Legends Bang Bang: RRQ Hoshi vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season · RRQ Hoshi | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.25 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? · No | 0.920 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$115.45 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.24at 0.754Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?
- +$7.00at 0.930Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?
- +$6.90at 0.310U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by March 31, 2026?
- +$6.05at 0.933Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $8B by July 31?
- +$5.96at 0.944Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 22:49 | Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in October? | BUY | 0.9379999971 | $15.00 |
| 09-19 09:59 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.5499999981 | $29.27 |
| 09-19 09:59 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September? | SELL | 0.5 | $10.93 |
| 09-14 07:02 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.21 | $20.59 |
| 09-13 01:00 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September? | BUY | 0.6699999931 | $14.64 |
| 09-05 00:36 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5099999986 | $50.00 |
| 08-28 01:20 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | BUY | 0.7409999997 | $48.99 |
| 08-17 06:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? | BUY | 0.92 | $115.45 |
| 08-01 07:35 | Unit FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.86 | $1.00 |
| 07-25 09:23 | Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July? | BUY | 0.979 | $109.00 |
| 07-13 22:10 | Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $8B by July 31? | BUY | 0.9299999994 | $98.00 |
| 07-13 22:09 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July? | SELL | 0.979 | $98.72 |
| 07-13 21:52 | US charges Hormuz fees by July 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $186.00 |
| 07-03 09:17 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July? | BUY | 0.9519999909 | $96.00 |
| 07-02 00:21 | Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.72 | $1.01 |