continent7
0xb2f1c7a8c7003aaaea5e579e14d74c76b9c3498e
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $18.0k
- Markets traded
- 69
- Open portfolio
- $93.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded69
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum Up or Down on October 9? · Up | 0.850 | 0.935 | $93.50 | +$8.50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET · Up | 0.386 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7AM ET · Up | 0.434 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.72 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET · Up | 0.513 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$71.80 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8AM ET · Up | 0.513 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.29 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET · Up | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET · Down | 0.145 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET · Up | 0.813 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.77 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET · Down | 0.504 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.18 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$121.78at 0.572Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
- +$71.53at 0.537Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11AM ET
- +$67.68at 0.792Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 11AM ET
- +$47.63at 0.536Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
- +$47.51at 0.604Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 00:12 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 9? | BUY | 0.85 | $8.50 |
| 10-08 18:33 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 2PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $49.00 |
| 10-08 18:32 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 2PM ET | BUY | 0.97 | $5.82 |
| 10-08 18:09 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 1PM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $117.09 |
| 10-08 17:58 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 1PM ET | BUY | 0.4266054393 | $50.00 |
| 10-08 17:57 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 1PM ET | SELL | 0.1684158416 | $42.53 |
| 10-08 17:54 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 1PM ET | BUY | 0.4572 | $45.72 |
| 10-08 17:54 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 1PM ET | BUY | 0.442425 | $44.24 |
| 10-08 17:52 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 1PM ET | SELL | 0.23 | $4.60 |
| 10-08 17:52 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 1PM ET | SELL | 0.178 | $3.56 |
| 10-08 17:52 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 1PM ET | SELL | 0.19 | $3.80 |
| 10-08 17:51 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 1PM ET | SELL | 0.205 | $4.10 |
| 10-08 17:50 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 1PM ET | SELL | 0.21 | $5.25 |
| 10-08 17:50 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 1PM ET | SELL | 0.242 | $6.05 |
| 10-08 17:48 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 1PM ET | SELL | 0.58 | $14.50 |