threesm
0xb2f0b467bccc1efd7d86d84488a7e7d5fdbb54e0
- Realised P&L
- $-144.78
- Volume
- $19.2k
- Markets traded
- 2,829
- Open portfolio
- $47.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,829
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration9.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.19at 0.217Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
- +$28.34at 0.476Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
- +$26.93at 0.443Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
- +$26.67at 0.383Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
- +$23.80at 0.376Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 02:00 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 15°C or below on November 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.99 |
| 11-02 00:58 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 4°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.99 |
| 11-02 00:58 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 16°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.99 |
| 11-01 23:56 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 12°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.99 |
| 11-01 23:56 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 3°C or below on November 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.99 |
| 11-01 11:35 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 3°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.99 |
| 11-01 08:41 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.99 |
| 11-01 08:40 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 2°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.99 |
| 10-21 23:52 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on October 23? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.99 |
| 10-14 23:02 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C or below on October 16? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.84 |
| 10-01 23:02 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.988 | $5.93 |
| 09-21 05:17 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or below on September 22? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.99 |
| 09-21 01:15 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.99 |
| 09-14 14:40 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C or higher on September 15? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.99 |
| 09-13 23:19 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.99 |