lancry
0xb2ef585249f592da7df64806577ef088e8736046
- Realised P&L
- $-117.58
- Volume
- $3.9k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $48.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration86.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$67.26at 0.132Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$36.45at 0.125Will Tadej Pogacar win the 2026 Vuelta a Espana?
- +$27.05at 0.779Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
- +$22.98at 0.310Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?
- +$19.88at 0.205Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 18:47 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999993 | $50.00 |
| 09-14 08:48 | Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.0289999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 08:48 | Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Racing Club end in a draw? | BUY | 0.05 | $10.00 |
| 08-13 06:34 | Will Tadej Pogacar win the 2026 Vuelta a Espana? | BUY | 0.1199999808 | $5.00 |
| 07-11 11:48 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.299999982 | $10.00 |
| 07-11 11:48 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2474999839 | $10.00 |
| 07-11 11:47 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5799999983 | $20.00 |
| 07-07 16:14 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.1499999887 | $10.00 |
| 07-07 16:14 | Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.0899999919 | $10.00 |
| 07-03 21:19 | Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.483275081 | $20.00 |
| 07-03 21:18 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1289999902 | $10.00 |
| 07-03 21:14 | Will United States win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.3499999895 | $20.00 |
| 07-03 21:13 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.5199999938 | $20.00 |
| 07-03 21:13 | Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.5399999881 | $20.00 |
| 07-03 21:13 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.5099999911 | $20.00 |