PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

lancry

0xb2ef585249f592da7df64806577ef088e8736046

Realised P&L
$-117.58
Volume
$3.9k
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$48.80

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration86.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2300.195$42.39−$7.61
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison? · Yes0.0950.030$6.41−$13.59
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5300.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2470.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$10.00
Will United States win on 2026-07-06? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-09-16? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00−$10.00
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Racing Club end in a draw? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15? · Yes0.4310.000$0.00−$114.12
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? · Yes0.4830.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 18:47Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2299999993$50.00
09-14 08:48Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.0289999999$10.00
09-14 08:48Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Racing Club end in a draw?BUY0.05$10.00
08-13 06:34Will Tadej Pogacar win the 2026 Vuelta a Espana?BUY0.1199999808$5.00
07-11 11:48Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.299999982$10.00
07-11 11:48Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.2474999839$10.00
07-11 11:47Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.5799999983$20.00
07-07 16:14Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?BUY0.1499999887$10.00
07-07 16:14Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.0899999919$10.00
07-03 21:19Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?BUY0.483275081$20.00
07-03 21:18Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1289999902$10.00
07-03 21:14Will United States win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.3499999895$20.00
07-03 21:13Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.5199999938$20.00
07-03 21:13Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.5399999881$20.00
07-03 21:13Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?BUY0.5099999911$20.00