Noahgfnxfg
0xb2e8eb31408af18c1bb2239b6c37662250d20aa2
- Realised P&L
- $13.40
- Volume
- $5.1k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $70.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Playoffs · FlyQuest | 0.470 | 1.000 | $51.00 | +$27.03 |
| Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner · GamerLegion | 0.570 | 0.565 | $19.77 | −$0.17 |
| Nottingham Forest FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.50 |
| Norway vs. England: Team to Advance · Norway | 0.355 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.75 |
| Will Qairat FK win on 2026-08-11? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.46 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May? · No | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.57 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$115.30at 0.500Will Levante win the 2025–26 La Liga?
- +$115.07at 0.500Will Mercedes be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
- +$109.34at 0.500Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$26.54at 0.542LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
- +$22.41at 0.500Will Union Saint-Gilloise win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 02:51 | Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.57 | $19.95 |
| 09-11 02:56 | LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Playoffs | BUY | 0.47 | $23.97 |
| 09-04 07:18 | Nottingham Forest FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $14.50 |
| 08-13 06:46 | LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana | BUY | 0.53 | $30.74 |
| 08-10 11:15 | Will Qairat FK win on 2026-08-11? | BUY | 0.38 | $6.46 |
| 07-21 05:53 | Will Marvel Studios announce a new project at SDCC 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $13.40 |
| 07-10 06:22 | Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.992 | $9.92 |
| 07-10 06:21 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.355 | $17.75 |
| 07-10 06:20 | Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.07 |
| 06-23 11:46 | Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw? | BUY | 0.77 | $37.42 |
| 06-23 11:46 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | SELL | 0.995 | $19.98 |
| 06-23 11:45 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | BUY | 0.996 | $20.00 |
| 05-25 11:45 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May? | BUY | 0.71 | $24.57 |
| 05-12 07:41 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 | BUY | 0.69 | $22.77 |
| 04-29 11:17 | Will Solana dip to $50 in April? | BUY | 0.9989998583 | $7.00 |