0xB2e2cA0D74F96Dd87BBcEC669c0eaf854Cccc325-1768164766984
0xb2e2ca0d74f96dd87bbcec669c0eaf854cccc325
- Realised P&L
- $-174.62
- Volume
- $22.4k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $99.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)59.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.022 | $99.45 | −$19.69 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET · Down | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET · Up | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET · Down | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET · Up | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by July 31? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$39.39 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.97at 0.273Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
- +$4.83at 0.517Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
- +$3.77at 0.577Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
- +$2.81at 0.646Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
- +$2.35at 0.685Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 21:28 | New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? | BUY | 0.0264682773 | $45.14 |
| 10-25 09:22 | New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? | BUY | 0.023460793 | $59.00 |
| 07-15 14:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | BUY | 0.3899998479 | $1.00 |
| 07-15 14:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.65 | $1.00 |
| 07-15 02:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 07-15 02:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET | SELL | 0.69 | $2.15 |
| 07-15 02:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 07-15 01:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5799999954 | $5.00 |
| 07-15 01:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET | BUY | 0.2599999646 | $5.00 |
| 07-14 15:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET | BUY | 0.8899999947 | $10.00 |
| 07-14 15:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET | SELL | 0.9 | $10.22 |
| 07-14 15:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET | BUY | 0.8799999965 | $10.00 |
| 07-14 15:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | BUY | 0.699999972 | $5.00 |
| 07-14 14:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET | BUY | 0.459999885 | $2.00 |
| 07-14 13:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET | BUY | 0.5699999059 | $2.00 |