PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

happydog

0xb2e140abd9ebe6085021adb81d7cbfe89810cf05

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$391.6k
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$50.61

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration76.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)11.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026? · Yes0.2560.075$50.61$122.44
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$0.95
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T? · Yes0.0680.000$0.00$23.56
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00$10.00
Trump kiss by May 31? · No0.0010.000$0.00$299.71
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22? · No0.4460.000$0.00$6.96
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$38.00
Will Trump visit China by May 15? · No0.0020.000$0.00$5.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-12 16:05SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?BUY0.1399999971$38.00
06-12 16:02SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?SELL0.021$3.03
06-12 16:01SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?SELL0.06$30.00
06-12 16:01SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?SELL0.015$5.83
06-12 07:51SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?BUY0.2$100.00
06-12 06:44SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?BUY0.068048638$50.00
06-12 06:44Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.09$60.00
06-12 06:42SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?BUY0.089999994$13.00
05-23 05:36Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?BUY0.004$0.95
05-23 05:34Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?BUY0.022898719$10.00
05-23 05:34Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.1499999989$100.00
05-22 20:25Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?BUY0.2564345094$173.05
05-22 00:39Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?SELL0.3561046865$234.03
05-21 23:41Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?BUY0.4458989183$300.00
05-21 23:41Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.14$429.33