robinhoodx
0xb2dcc7021ceaa78c55f42a1ea4cd75cfb16bb433
- Realised P&L
- $783.64
- Volume
- $249.6k
- Markets traded
- 269
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded269
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.4kat 0.799Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
- +$126.69at 0.566Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
- +$113.19at 0.775Kash Patel out by June 30?
- +$89.75at 0.657Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$88.75at 0.509Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 15:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $30.00 |
| 10-08 15:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999999 | $100.00 |
| 09-13 04:07 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9039999858 | $41.38 |
| 08-28 21:56 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999988 | $120.71 |
| 08-22 17:18 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.38133967 | $140.65 |
| 08-22 17:10 | Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9902317073 | $35.73 |
| 08-22 17:10 | Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.9738986652 | $51.80 |
| 08-22 17:09 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $58.94 |
| 08-20 08:43 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4740156517 | $232.59 |
| 08-20 08:37 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.993 | $31.91 |
| 08-20 08:37 | Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? | SELL | 0.9 | $111.10 |
| 08-20 08:36 | US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31? | SELL | 0.931336021 | $99.34 |
| 08-19 15:44 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6647319002 | $134.13 |
| 08-19 15:43 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $137.67 |
| 08-16 10:47 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999991 | $29.89 |