PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xB2dC801BA7CbaFC9dA76d63D685c549Bde8729ca-1782399924414

0xb2dc801ba7cbafc9da76d63d685c549bde8729ca

Realised P&L
$-238.53
Volume
$11.2k
Markets traded
616
Open portfolio
$17.23

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded616
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration3.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Georgia win on 2026-09-25? · No0.5001.000$8.00+$4.00
Will FC Dordrecht win on 2026-09-25? · No0.7100.680$3.83−$0.17
Spread: Montenegro (-1.5) · Cyprus0.7000.665$3.80−$0.20
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.4470.053$1.60−$11.80
Will NK Celje vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava end in a draw? · No0.7000.000$0.00−$9.80
Will Angers SCO win on 2026-09-19? · No0.5400.000$0.00−$4.86
Will Malmo FF win on 2026-08-16? · No0.6900.000$0.00−$3.45
Will Mjallby AIF win on 2026-07-25? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00−$3.70
Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-07-18? · No0.4700.000$0.00−$6.58
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-09-18? · No0.5100.000$0.00−$4.08
Spread: FC Anyang (-1.5) · FC Anyang0.3200.000$0.00−$3.20
Will Switzerland reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2620.000$0.00−$9.18
Will Hammarby IF win on 2026-08-30? · Yes0.6900.000$0.00−$7.00
Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-07-26? · No0.7900.000$0.00−$4.74
Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-08-28? · No0.6000.000$0.00−$8.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 15:52Will FC Dordrecht win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.7099999769$4.00
09-25 15:52Spread: Montenegro (-1.5)BUY0.699999965$4.00
09-25 15:06Will Georgia win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.5$4.00
09-24 15:31Will Kosovo win on 2026-09-24?BUY0.609999962$4.50
09-24 15:30Will Germany win on 2026-09-24?BUY0.6199999907$4.00
09-24 12:52Spread: Norway (-1.5)BUY0.7$4.19
09-24 00:48Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-04-12?BUY0.7829999744$4.00
09-20 16:56Will Fulham FC win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.6199999781$3.96
09-20 16:54Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.63$4.41
09-20 15:09Will EC Bahia win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.71$3.55
09-20 15:09Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)BUY0.56$3.36
09-20 15:08Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)SELL0.999$5.99
09-20 15:08Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)BUY0.6$3.60
09-20 14:56Will Juventus FC win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.57$4.56
09-20 14:55Will PSV win on 2026-09-20?SELL0.999$7.88