0xb2Cd1B4A33a4C66d1f1597ce24304992015d95Df-1771147158653
0xb2cd1b4a33a4c66d1f1597ce24304992015d95df
- Realised P&L
- $-15.57
- Volume
- $4.6k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $5.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.69at 0.130Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 25% in February?
- +$4.56at 0.180US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$1.00at 0.500LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffs
- +$0.79at 0.560Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?
- +$0.39at 0.720Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 08:01 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | BUY | 0.8909997677 | $3.00 |
| 05-10 07:57 | Will JEF United Ichihara Chiba win on 2026-05-10? | BUY | 0.2199998548 | $1.00 |
| 05-10 07:56 | Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-05-10? | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 05-10 07:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 03-02 14:33 | Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | BUY | 0.2299999793 | $7.00 |
| 03-02 14:32 | Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15? | BUY | 0.719999856 | $1.00 |
| 02-22 16:07 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of February 23? | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |
| 02-22 16:05 | Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1? | BUY | 0.5599998432 | $1.00 |
| 02-22 16:02 | Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 02-22 16:01 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 02-22 16:00 | Will there be 20 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend? | BUY | 0.2199998548 | $1.00 |
| 02-22 15:57 | Will MrBeast's latest video get 22–24 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 02-22 15:56 | Will MrBeast's latest video get 20–22 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.0030329684 | $1.00 |
| 02-22 15:30 | Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? | BUY | 0.8299992198 | $1.00 |
| 02-22 15:30 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |