0x9941e...5C52f7B
0xb2c307c85f32c4ae917763d8a2c9a5769f93f61b
- Realised P&L
- $-3.9k
- Volume
- $82.7k
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $6.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026? · Yes | 0.589 | 0.885 | $3.2k | +$1.1k |
| Will Gemini Argon be released on October 13, 2026? · Yes | 0.371 | 0.913 | $1.2k | +$724.41 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.569 | 0.925 | $474.67 | +$182.60 |
| Gemini Argon released by October 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.910 | $399.13 | +$109.49 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.930 | $361.16 | +$81.55 |
| Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.945 | $265.91 | +$74.58 |
| Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.550 | 0.580 | $38.48 | +$1.99 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31? · Yes | 0.309 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$564.24 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET · Down | 0.384 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$231.84 |
| Will Broadcom (AVGO) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.038 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$646.51at 0.827Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
- +$307.05at 0.781Will Grand Theft Auto VI Trailer 2 get between 60m and 70m views in first 24 hours?
- +$61.55at 0.620Will Grand Theft Auto VI Trailer 2 get less than 60m views in first 24 hours?
- +$51.08at 0.823Will Grand Theft Auto VI Trailer 2 get between 70m and 80m views in first 24 hours?
- +$38.40at 0.720Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 00:34 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $6.40 |
| 10-13 00:27 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.75 | $97.08 |
| 10-13 00:20 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.75 | $82.50 |
| 10-13 00:17 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.57 | $203.27 |
| 10-13 00:14 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.75 | $142.50 |
| 10-13 00:12 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.56 | $14.23 |
| 10-13 00:11 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026? | SELL | 0.77 | $75.20 |
| 10-13 00:09 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 23, 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $4.40 |
| 10-12 22:42 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.63 | $12.60 |
| 10-12 22:32 | Will Gemini Argon be released on October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.6888863636 | $30.31 |
| 10-12 22:31 | Will Gemini Argon be released on October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.6825945946 | $25.26 |
| 10-12 22:31 | Will Gemini Argon be released on October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.679 | $3.40 |
| 10-12 22:29 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $7.00 |
| 10-12 22:29 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $21.00 |
| 10-12 22:26 | Will Gemini Argon be released on October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.642 | $3.25 |