0xb2b16bdced76261345726ad25541364e165626b7
0xb2b16bdced76261345726ad25541364e165626b7
- Realised P&L
- $12.97
- Volume
- $430.04
- Markets traded
- 124
- Open portfolio
- $6.89
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded124
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will PPI YoY be 5.9% or more in September? · Yes | 0.370 | 1.000 | $2.70 | +$1.70 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $55 Week of October 12 2026? · No | 0.709 | 0.804 | $1.13 | +$0.13 |
| Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%? · No | 0.550 | 0.575 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 16? · No | 0.600 | 0.475 | $0.79 | −$0.21 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15? · Down | 0.670 | 0.390 | $0.58 | −$0.42 |
| Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 15? · Down | 0.210 | 0.055 | $0.26 | −$0.74 |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 15? · No | 0.280 | 0.060 | $0.21 | −$0.79 |
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.10 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.121 | $0.16 | −$0.84 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.92at 0.259Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in August?
- +$5.62at 0.270Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?
- +$3.72at 0.218Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?
- +$3.13at 0.249Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?
- +$2.95at 0.410Will Trump say "Kamala" during remarks in New York?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 14:32 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15? | BUY | 0.6699996918 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 14:31 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 15? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 06:28 | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 15? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 22:25 | Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 13:45 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $55 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.7089999121 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 05:44 | Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 21:42 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 13:39 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299994744 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 05:38 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.10 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 21:38 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 13:38 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699995842 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 05:37 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 16? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 20:39 | Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 67% to 68%? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 12:39 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 04:33 | Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $17.2B? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |