PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

wirklich

0xb29bf73058d1a15a7f5c1529cd846f430fa89e76

Realised P&L
$-80.78
Volume
$467.4k
Markets traded
156
Open portfolio
$283.55

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded156
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration91.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07? · No0.3300.325$259.99−$4.00
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes0.7400.997$12.11+$3.12
Will Trump deport 300-400k people? · Yes0.3600.115$9.45−$20.12
Will Trump deport 400-500k people? · Yes0.2300.530$1.52+$0.86
Will Trump deport 200-300k people? · Yes0.1600.046$0.47−$1.16
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-19 19:18Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?BUY0.7399999967$8.99
05-19 19:14Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.7199999974$200.00
05-19 19:13Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?BUY0.3899998479$1.00
05-19 19:12Will Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?BUY0.29999997$5.00
04-03 08:55US forces enter Iran by April 30?SELL0.34$0.67
04-02 12:16Will Trump deport 400-500k people?BUY0.23$0.15
03-21 12:37Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?BUY0.095$28.50
03-11 09:06Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.032$3.67
02-11 12:26Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL0.1$80.00
02-02 09:59Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?SELL0.682$0.68
01-22 10:09Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?SELL0.073$335.47
01-18 04:55Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.0250830351$59.57
01-17 16:48Bills vs. BroncosBUY0.4799999988$80.00
01-17 16:47Bills vs. BroncosBUY0.4799999981$50.00
01-17 16:47Bills vs. BroncosBUY0.4799999986$71.00