PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xb29be9E12Ccb20D7900017836bA507b78f95FBD3-1767980473495

0xb29be9e12ccb20d7900017836ba507b78f95fbd3

Realised P&L
$-75.32
Volume
$3.8k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$5.13

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration51.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1270.043$5.13−$9.99
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$2.00
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$2.00
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? · No0.0640.000$0.00−$1.00
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-21 16:37Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1266494776$15.12
01-27 19:26Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?BUY0.004$1.00
01-27 19:25Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?BUY0.001$1.00
01-27 19:06Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?BUY0.001$1.00
01-16 16:49Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?SELL0.238$18.78
01-14 17:09Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?BUY0.8849999949$69.83
01-14 17:04Will the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on January 14?SELL0.999$69.83
01-14 16:35Will the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on January 14?BUY0.9709141668$67.87
01-14 16:26Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?SELL0.0220722524$2.03
01-14 14:07Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?BUY0.32$29.41
01-14 14:06Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?SELL0.999$29.41
01-14 08:48Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?BUY0.9069999994$26.71
01-14 07:50Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?SELL0.999$26.71
01-14 05:34Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?BUY0.9909999998$26.50
01-13 19:23Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?SELL0.999$26.50