PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

fishball159

0xb29bac89ea02424444788fa2a6c7d0a6c768628a

Realised P&L
$24.38
Volume
$237.33
Markets traded
107
Open portfolio
$7.98

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar10.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded107
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03? · Yes0.6100.605$1.98−$0.02
Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-02? · No0.6800.695$1.02+$0.02
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04? · Yes0.7600.775$1.02+$0.02
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-07? · Yes0.7700.765$0.99−$0.01
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07? · Yes0.6800.675$0.99−$0.01
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-03? · No0.6000.595$0.99−$0.01
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-04? · Yes0.6400.625$0.98−$0.02
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.7400.000$0.00−$10.00
Will United States win on 2026-07-06? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? · Yes0.4700.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-10-23? · Yes0.4250.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.9000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 05:01Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-04?BUY0.64$1.00
11-01 05:01Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04?BUY0.7599999088$1.00
11-01 04:59Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03?BUY0.6099998597$1.00
11-01 04:58Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-03?BUY0.59999988$1.00
11-01 04:57Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-02?BUY0.6799998912$1.00
11-01 04:57Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-07?BUY0.77$1.00
11-01 04:56Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07?BUY0.6799998912$1.00
10-26 03:51Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03?BUY0.6099998597$1.00
10-26 03:50Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
10-26 03:50Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-31?BUY0.8699999913$1.00
10-26 03:49Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-31?BUY0.5$1.00
10-26 03:49Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-31?BUY0.64$1.00
10-26 03:48Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-31?BUY0.5$1.00
10-26 03:48Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-10-31?BUY0.649999805$1.00
10-26 03:48Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-31?BUY0.5899998466$1.00