0xb29b104dc62a1025825c862838a16ef777ccec26
- Realised P&L
- $-0.19
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $4.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.370 | 0.500 | $1.35 | +$0.35 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $320 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.650 | 0.860 | $1.32 | +$0.32 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.690 | 0.750 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $160 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.325 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.080 | $0.11 | −$0.89 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · No | 0.630 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? · No | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.97at 0.258Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?
- +$2.97at 0.258Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 Week of August 24 2026?
- +$2.82at 0.268Will Trump say "Nuclear" during remarks at NASA?
- +$1.75at 0.369Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during his rally with Darline Graham?
- +$0.94at 0.520Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $67 Week of August 24 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 22:30 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 22:06 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 13:45 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 05:41 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $320 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 21:40 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $160 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 06:37 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 11? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 22:27 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $164 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 14:07 | Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 02:54 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 17:28 | Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 09:14 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.6099997255 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 13:18 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $502.50 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999921 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 21:38 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.63 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 01:05 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 12:21 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |