adpem
0xb29af4a18e225679ae9dee175d300f46f9c1826e
- Realised P&L
- $0.06
- Volume
- $52.40
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $19.74
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will it rain in Houston, TX on October 2? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.990 | $10.05 | +$3.25 |
| Will it rain in New York, NY on October 2? · No | 0.440 | 0.970 | $9.70 | +$5.29 |
| Will NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in September? · Yes | 0.091 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.01 |
| Will it rain in Houston, TX on September 29? · Yes | 0.098 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.24at 0.779Will it rain in Houston, TX on September 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 10:00 | Will it rain in New York, NY on October 2? | BUY | 0.44 | $4.40 |
| 10-02 04:00 | Will it rain in Houston, TX on October 2? | BUY | 0.6699999823 | $6.80 |
| 09-29 05:46 | Will it rain in Houston, TX on September 29? | BUY | 0.0979999926 | $1.08 |
| 09-24 23:17 | Will NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in September? | BUY | 0.0909999926 | $1.01 |
| 09-22 13:43 | Will it rain in Houston, TX on September 22? | BUY | 0.7699999872 | $7.80 |