PolyBot

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Traders

ElectionBetter1234

0xb29a45c20af111a4da8c4a8e9e12d9800ae5ae79

Realised P&L
$-742.90
Volume
$55.8k
Markets traded
755
Open portfolio
$11.37

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded755
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Achim Steiner be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? · Yes0.0020.368$1.84+$1.83
Will Alicia Bárcena be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? · Yes0.0020.280$1.40+$1.39
Will Bruno Donat be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? · Yes0.0020.248$1.24+$1.23
Will Amina Mohammed be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? · Yes0.0020.172$0.86+$0.85
Will Mia Mottley be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? · Yes0.0020.087$0.44+$0.43
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison? · Yes0.0020.051$0.26+$0.24
Will the Republican Party win the CA-13 House seat? · Yes0.0020.048$0.24+$0.23
Will Trump deport 200-300k people? · Yes0.0020.046$0.23+$0.22
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? · Yes0.0020.035$0.18+$0.17
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · Yes0.0020.035$0.17+$0.17
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · Yes0.0020.035$0.17+$0.16
Will FREPASNA win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · Yes0.0020.032$0.16+$0.15
Will Sean O'Malley be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0020.030$0.15+$0.14
Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2026? · Yes0.0020.024$0.12+$0.11
Will the Republican Party win the IN-01 House seat? · Yes0.0020.024$0.12+$0.11

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 15:27Will UNHCR win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.028$0.14
10-06 15:27Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.011$0.11
10-06 15:26Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?SELL0.063$0.32
09-20 16:37StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?SELL0.011$0.05
09-20 16:37Will Max Holloway become UFC champion in 2026?SELL0.008$0.04
09-20 16:37Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?SELL0.032$0.16
09-20 12:51Finkelstein vs. Gabelic: Match O/U 23.5BUY0.25$1.92
09-20 12:51Finkelstein vs. Gabelic: Match O/U 22.5BUY0.25$1.92
09-20 12:48Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Champions Group DBUY0.4799999635$4.21
09-20 06:32Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 20?SELL0.529$7.25
09-20 06:29Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 20?BUY0.6$4.11
09-20 06:29Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 20?BUY0.6$4.11
09-18 21:52LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 3 WinnerBUY0.8399999595$1.66
09-18 20:02LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS PlayoffsBUY0.7199999392$2.84
09-18 15:35LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.579999908$2.27