ElectionBetter1234
0xb29a45c20af111a4da8c4a8e9e12d9800ae5ae79
- Realised P&L
- $-742.90
- Volume
- $55.8k
- Markets traded
- 755
- Open portfolio
- $11.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded755
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$91.95at 0.746LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner
- +$83.76at 0.840LoL: Barça eSports vs Team Heretics Academy - Game 2 Winner
- +$65.14at 0.866LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner
- +$52.04at 0.412LoL: Maryville University vs Dorado Gaming (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stage
- +$51.95at 0.900LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 15:27 | Will UNHCR win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.028 | $0.14 |
| 10-06 15:27 | Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.11 |
| 10-06 15:26 | Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027? | SELL | 0.063 | $0.32 |
| 09-20 16:37 | StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.05 |
| 09-20 16:37 | Will Max Holloway become UFC champion in 2026? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.04 |
| 09-20 16:37 | Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024? | SELL | 0.032 | $0.16 |
| 09-20 12:51 | Finkelstein vs. Gabelic: Match O/U 23.5 | BUY | 0.25 | $1.92 |
| 09-20 12:51 | Finkelstein vs. Gabelic: Match O/U 22.5 | BUY | 0.25 | $1.92 |
| 09-20 12:48 | Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Champions Group D | BUY | 0.4799999635 | $4.21 |
| 09-20 06:32 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.529 | $7.25 |
| 09-20 06:29 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.6 | $4.11 |
| 09-20 06:29 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.6 | $4.11 |
| 09-18 21:52 | LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 3 Winner | BUY | 0.8399999595 | $1.66 |
| 09-18 20:02 | LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs | BUY | 0.7199999392 | $2.84 |
| 09-18 15:35 | LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.579999908 | $2.27 |