0xb29994d97167814Bf84d523FBa3f845dF18fd48C-1730293900065
0xb29994d97167814bf84d523fba3f845df18fd48c
- Realised P&L
- $-227.94
- Volume
- $20.4k
- Markets traded
- 63
- Open portfolio
- $212.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded63
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$213.87at 0.105MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
- +$187.73at 0.159Will Gold (GC) settle at >$5,100 in January?
- +$90.02at 0.100Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of January?
- +$56.82at 0.209MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
- +$23.45at 0.542Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-14 11:12 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August? | BUY | 0.002999997 | $1.00 |
| 08-14 11:12 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August? | BUY | 0.002999997 | $1.00 |
| 08-14 10:52 | Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.033 | $33.00 |
| 08-14 05:35 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August? | BUY | 0.02 | $10.00 |
| 08-14 05:34 | Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in August? | BUY | 0.004 | $2.00 |
| 08-14 05:32 | Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0330000001 | $10.00 |
| 08-14 05:29 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August? | BUY | 0.002999997 | $1.00 |
| 08-14 05:29 | Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in August? | BUY | 0.0030769231 | $1.00 |
| 08-13 21:46 | Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.033 | $11.55 |
| 08-12 15:20 | Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0329999991 | $36.00 |
| 08-12 15:18 | Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0330000001 | $10.00 |
| 08-12 15:15 | Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 08-12 15:15 | Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 11:09 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 08-08 11:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.042 | $3.38 |