PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xb293ce82a02f965ac79d1e8c734355b90465d374

0xb293ce82a02f965ac79d1e8c734355b90465d374

Realised P&L
$3.49
Volume
$252.76
Markets traded
62
Open portfolio
$4.41

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded62
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 9? · Yes0.6701.000$1.49+$0.49
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · No0.4500.480$1.07+$0.07
Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%? · Yes0.2300.225$0.98−$0.02
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · No0.7400.605$0.82−$0.18
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026? · Yes0.3400.019$0.06−$0.94
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $360 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 20:14Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%?BUY0.2299999517$1.00
10-09 11:54Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?BUY0.4499998425$1.00
10-09 03:53S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 9?BUY0.6699999196$1.00
10-08 19:53Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?BUY0.7399996448$1.00
10-08 11:52Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.64$1.00
10-08 03:51Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.7739998731$1.00
10-07 19:45Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $360 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.2799999664$1.00
10-07 11:44Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
10-07 03:40Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?BUY0.3399999388$1.00
09-22 10:16Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.2599999896$2.00
09-19 10:32Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?BUY0.3599999712$2.00
09-19 02:32Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?BUY0.2399999808$2.00
09-18 18:23Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?BUY0.4799999616$2.00
09-18 08:18Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $72 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.85$2.00
09-17 22:24Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.7299999087$2.00