trenchesgirlcap
0xb28a8d45669aba69eab824afd641ea41e5bf6d4a
- Realised P&L
- $-4.6k
- Volume
- $1.26M
- Markets traded
- 2,659
- Open portfolio
- $63.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,659
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration26.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$238.71at 0.270Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5
- +$210.00at 0.480Dan Bongino out as Deputy Director of the FBI by July 31?
- +$206.57at 0.130Mexico vs. England: O/U 3.5
- +$181.56at 0.320Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5
- +$170.24at 0.240Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 03:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET | BUY | 0.4299999871 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 02:37 | Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 167.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $66.93 |
| 08-01 20:06 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.009 | $1.02 |
| 08-01 09:17 | Pohang Steelers FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.1 | $16.70 |
| 08-01 09:17 | Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.13 | $21.71 |
| 08-01 09:04 | Pohang Steelers FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.43 | $28.81 |
| 08-01 09:03 | Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $38.50 |
| 08-01 07:37 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 00:59 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.1127323 | $11.27 |
| 07-31 21:16 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $8.49 |
| 07-31 20:09 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.02 |
| 07-31 20:06 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.20 |
| 07-31 19:19 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.0765276565 | $50.47 |
| 07-31 16:12 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $36.40 |
| 07-31 16:11 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $21.22 |