trenchesgirlcap
0xb28a8d45669aba69eab824afd641ea41e5bf6d4a
- Realised P&L
- $-5.8k
- Volume
- $1.42M
- Markets traded
- 3,221
- Open portfolio
- $8.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,221
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration41.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$238.71at 0.270Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5
- +$210.00at 0.480Dan Bongino out as Deputy Director of the FBI by July 31?
- +$205.02at 0.130Mexico vs. England: O/U 3.5
- +$179.82at 0.327Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5
- +$170.24at 0.240Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 19:49 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $48 in October? | SELL | 0.0296292231 | $1.73 |
| 10-29 21:39 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.01 |
| 10-29 04:25 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027? | SELL | 0.005 | $3.89 |
| 10-26 22:29 | Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 22:29 | Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 21:40 | Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 17:36 | Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 10-25 15:40 | Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.001 | $9.00 |
| 10-23 01:59 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October? | BUY | 0.005 | $4.01 |
| 10-21 18:12 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 October 19-25? | SELL | 0.038 | $13.30 |
| 10-17 03:30 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October? | BUY | 0.011 | $7.30 |
| 10-17 03:30 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 12-18? | SELL | 0.005 | $5.25 |
| 10-15 12:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.0149952381 | $15.75 |
| 10-02 05:02 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.0522455402 | $22.23 |
| 10-02 03:36 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.0352044776 | $23.59 |