PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

trenchesgirlcap

0xb28a8d45669aba69eab824afd641ea41e5bf6d4a

Realised P&L
$-4.6k
Volume
$1.26M
Markets traded
2,659
Open portfolio
$63.74

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,659
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration26.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · Yes0.0640.030$34.66$38.38
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in August? · Yes0.0200.018$18.50$1.50
Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0100.007$8.00$2.67
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on August 3? · Yes0.0300.085$2.55+$1.65
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 31? · Yes0.0400.001$0.01$0.99
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 3? · Yes0.0300.001$0.01$0.72
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage · Team Liquid0.0900.000$0.00$4.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET · Up0.5500.000$0.00$4.10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET · Up0.3700.000$0.00$2.10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00$1.10
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00$10.04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET · Up0.5300.000$0.00$2.73
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 34°C on July 31? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$0.80
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET · Down0.1600.000$0.00$1.59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET · Up0.3800.000$0.00$1.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 03:04Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETBUY0.4299999871$5.00
08-03 02:37Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 167.5SELL0.999$66.93
08-01 20:06Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 2?BUY0.009$1.02
08-01 09:17Pohang Steelers FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 4.5BUY0.1$16.70
08-01 09:17Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 4.5BUY0.13$21.71
08-01 09:04Pohang Steelers FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 2.5BUY0.43$28.81
08-01 09:03Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 2.5BUY0.5$38.50
08-01 07:37Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 1?BUY0.02$1.00
08-01 00:59Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.1127323$11.27
07-31 21:16Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?SELL0.04$8.49
07-31 20:09Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on August 1?BUY0.02$0.02
07-31 20:06Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 1?BUY0.04$1.20
07-31 19:19Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.0765276565$50.47
07-31 16:12Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.11$36.40
07-31 16:11Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.1$21.22