PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

trenchesgirlcap

0xb28a8d45669aba69eab824afd641ea41e5bf6d4a

Realised P&L
$-5.8k
Volume
$1.42M
Markets traded
3,221
Open portfolio
$8.18

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,221
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration41.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0030.003$3.67+$0.00
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 October 26-November 1? · Yes0.0020.004$3.04+$1.11
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 26-November 1? · Yes0.0130.005$1.00−$1.60
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0040.007$0.46+$0.22
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage · Team Liquid0.0900.000$0.00−$4.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET · Up0.5500.000$0.00−$4.10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET · Up0.3700.000$0.00−$2.10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00−$1.10
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET · Up0.5180.000$0.00−$10.20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET · Up0.5300.000$0.00−$2.73
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 34°C on July 31? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$0.80
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET · Down0.1610.000$0.00−$1.60
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on August 23? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$2.10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET · Up0.3800.000$0.00−$1.80
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET · Up0.5900.000$0.00−$3.16

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 19:49Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $48 in October?SELL0.0296292231$1.73
10-29 21:39Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?BUY0.002$0.01
10-29 04:25Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?SELL0.005$3.89
10-26 22:29Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.001$1.00
10-26 22:29Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.001$1.00
10-26 21:40Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.001$1.00
10-26 17:36Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.002$1.00
10-25 15:40Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.001$9.00
10-23 01:59Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?BUY0.005$4.01
10-21 18:12Will Ethereum reach $2,800 October 19-25?SELL0.038$13.30
10-17 03:30Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?BUY0.011$7.30
10-17 03:30Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 12-18?SELL0.005$5.25
10-15 12:12Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 12-18?BUY0.0149952381$15.75
10-02 05:02Will Ethereum reach $3,000 September 28-October 4?BUY0.0522455402$22.23
10-02 03:36Will Ethereum reach $3,000 September 28-October 4?BUY0.0352044776$23.59