Polupander
0xb28a2d5fa754b3f0ddb14a7e963a115a84cacbdc
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $12.1k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $3.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · Yes | 0.671 | 0.449 | $3.0k | −$1.5k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.65at 0.593Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?
- +$0.00at 0.230Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$-22.96at 0.789Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 09:05 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.3598649061 | $100.00 |
| 09-18 09:05 | Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? | SELL | 0.6407276119 | $109.90 |
| 09-18 09:02 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.3709023474 | $80.00 |
| 09-16 15:49 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.5652317268 | $100.00 |
| 09-16 08:58 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.5696114288 | $300.00 |
| 09-16 08:51 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.5663427007 | $100.00 |
| 09-16 06:34 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.5723418066 | $100.00 |
| 09-16 04:42 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.5653861131 | $100.00 |
| 09-16 04:42 | Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.5830039516 | $100.00 |
| 09-15 03:57 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.6067400847 | $295.76 |
| 09-14 21:15 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.23 | $300.00 |
| 09-14 19:49 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.6579690359 | $598.86 |
| 09-14 19:47 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2299999998 | $300.00 |
| 09-14 19:44 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.77 | $907.04 |
| 09-12 15:35 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.79 | $330.00 |