PolyBot

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Traders

spectreduo

0xb2840d8ecea81515acc8454632fdd9aebc387518

Realised P&L
$-268.32
Volume
$22.5k
Markets traded
391
Open portfolio
$16.57

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded391
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on September 19? · No0.9800.994$1.01+$0.01
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 17? · Yes0.9800.990$1.01+$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on September 19? · No0.9700.975$0.99+$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 18? · No0.9550.975$0.99+$0.02
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on September 19? · No0.9700.965$0.98$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on September 19? · No0.9700.965$0.98$0.01
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on September 19? · No0.9900.960$0.98$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 18? · No0.9600.960$0.98+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on September 19? · No0.9700.960$0.98$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 19? · No0.9600.960$0.98+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on September 19? · No0.9700.960$0.98$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on September 19? · No0.9700.950$0.97$0.02
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 19? · No0.9600.945$0.96$0.02
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on September 19? · No0.9600.940$0.96$0.02
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 18? · Yes0.9600.935$0.95$0.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 00:04Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 18?SELL0.94$1.00
09-18 00:00Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on September 18?SELL0.94$1.00
09-18 00:00Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 18?SELL0.91$0.96
09-18 00:00Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on September 18?SELL0.93$0.99
09-18 00:00Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 19?SELL0.93$0.99
09-18 00:00Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 18?SELL0.94$1.00
09-18 00:00Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on September 18?SELL0.92$0.98
09-18 00:00Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 18?SELL0.94$1.00
09-18 00:00Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on September 19?SELL0.94$1.00
09-18 00:00Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 18?SELL0.93$0.99
09-18 00:00Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 18?SELL0.92$0.98
09-17 23:59Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on September 18?SELL0.94$0.96
09-17 23:59Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 18?SELL0.93$0.95
09-17 23:59Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 18?SELL0.95$0.97
09-17 23:59Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C or higher on September 18?SELL0.92$0.94