spectreduo
0xb2840d8ecea81515acc8454632fdd9aebc387518
- Realised P&L
- $-268.32
- Volume
- $22.5k
- Markets traded
- 391
- Open portfolio
- $16.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded391
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$39.97at 0.024Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on June 15?
- +$30.92at 0.230Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 20?
- +$27.36at 0.072Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 18?
- +$27.24at 0.045Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 17?
- +$26.61at 0.095Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 00:04 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.94 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 00:00 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.94 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 00:00 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.91 | $0.96 |
| 09-18 00:00 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.93 | $0.99 |
| 09-18 00:00 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.93 | $0.99 |
| 09-18 00:00 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 18? | SELL | 0.94 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 00:00 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.92 | $0.98 |
| 09-18 00:00 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.94 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 00:00 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on September 19? | SELL | 0.94 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 00:00 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.93 | $0.99 |
| 09-18 00:00 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.92 | $0.98 |
| 09-17 23:59 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.94 | $0.96 |
| 09-17 23:59 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 18? | SELL | 0.93 | $0.95 |
| 09-17 23:59 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.95 | $0.97 |
| 09-17 23:59 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C or higher on September 18? | SELL | 0.92 | $0.94 |