eliihii
0xb283ed98f872fb5bde86ed3a3d3753782c0b9e52
- Realised P&L
- $-33.05
- Volume
- $9.0k
- Markets traded
- 195
- Open portfolio
- $31.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded195
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.20at 0.220Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on March 11?
- +$27.60at 0.749Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 28?
- +$27.59at 0.749Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C or higher on April 24?
- +$27.55at 0.750Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 37°C or higher on April 17?
- +$27.55at 0.750Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 06:46 | Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 14°C or below on September 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.98 |
| 09-18 06:46 | Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 22°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.99 |
| 09-17 06:28 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $33.97 |
| 09-16 06:16 | Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 32°C or higher on September 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $33.97 |
| 09-15 06:13 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.99 |
| 09-15 06:03 | Will the lowest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 21°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.9983846154 | $25.96 |
| 09-14 06:34 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.999 | $33.97 |
| 09-13 06:36 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on September 13? | BUY | 0.9987058824 | $33.96 |
| 09-12 06:37 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on September 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $33.97 |
| 09-11 06:38 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on September 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $33.97 |
| 09-10 06:24 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.999 | $33.97 |
| 09-09 07:04 | Will the lowest temperature in Busan be 19°C on September 9? | BUY | 0.9776923077 | $25.42 |
| 09-09 07:04 | Will the lowest temperature in Busan be 18°C on September 9? | BUY | 0.99 | $6.93 |
| 09-08 05:36 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.99 | $32.67 |
| 09-07 07:11 | Will the lowest temperature in Zhengzhou be 20°C on September 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $32.97 |