dumdumdumdum
0xb26dfe6953c9814f03b7f16ac4c717305b4673f7
- Realised P&L
- $1.7k
- Volume
- $145.2k
- Markets traded
- 2,258
- Open portfolio
- $234.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded2,258
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$53.44at 0.869Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 18?
- +$52.23at 0.825Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on June 14?
- +$40.85at 0.861Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 9?
- +$39.20at 0.866Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on June 15?
- +$35.82at 0.266Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 17:47 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.34 | $3.40 |
| 08-04 17:38 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 17:24 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.4 | $4.00 |
| 08-04 17:19 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.994 | $14.91 |
| 08-04 15:31 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.99 | $19.80 |
| 08-04 15:29 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.99 | $49.50 |
| 08-04 15:17 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.43 | $8.60 |
| 08-04 14:42 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.96 | $9.60 |
| 08-04 13:55 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.79 | $7.27 |
| 08-04 13:48 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.79 | $7.90 |
| 08-04 13:46 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.9465111821 | $14.81 |
| 08-04 13:20 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.936 | $5.29 |
| 08-04 13:14 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.98 | $23.49 |
| 08-04 13:05 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.991 | $39.79 |
| 08-04 13:03 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.97 | $33.17 |