dumdumdumdum
0xb26dfe6953c9814f03b7f16ac4c717305b4673f7
- Realised P&L
- $2.4k
- Volume
- $225.9k
- Markets traded
- 3,208
- Open portfolio
- $612.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded3,208
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$72.04at 0.820Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 15?
- +$50.42at 0.869Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 18?
- +$49.29at 0.832Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on June 14?
- +$38.88at 0.865Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 9?
- +$37.45at 0.871Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on June 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 15:25 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.984 | $20.97 |
| 10-01 15:24 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.9827021477 | $62.69 |
| 10-01 15:18 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.9628421429 | $13.48 |
| 10-01 15:07 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.984 | $13.78 |
| 10-01 14:56 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.94 | $16.92 |
| 10-01 14:56 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.9501513432 | $50.23 |
| 10-01 14:52 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.995 | $46.22 |
| 10-01 14:41 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.924 | $6.70 |
| 10-01 14:40 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.902 | $9.02 |
| 10-01 14:40 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.9 | $7.79 |
| 10-01 14:37 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.969 | $19.38 |
| 10-01 14:02 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.9436153846 | $12.27 |
| 10-01 14:02 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.929 | $13.94 |
| 10-01 14:02 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.93 | $7.44 |
| 10-01 14:01 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.924 | $7.39 |