PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

gud4you

0xb26743e27805335cf403e6af1b814803d9fe8426

Realised P&L
$-665.63
Volume
$23.7k
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$40.70

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0490.009$40.70$193.29
Will Putin remain President of Russia through June? · No0.1000.000$0.00$1.87

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-06 16:58Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.048867829$234.00
02-06 16:57Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?SELL0.72$234.79
02-02 06:33Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?BUY0.7033932302$229.38
02-02 06:28Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?SELL0.8$229.38
02-01 06:02Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY0.7199999993$206.45
02-01 06:01US government shutdown Saturday?SELL0.997$206.45
01-26 08:57US government shutdown Saturday?BUY0.7699999992$159.45
01-26 08:57US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?SELL0.84$159.45
01-26 08:54US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.8499999995$161.35
01-26 08:53Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?SELL0.955$161.36
01-17 07:10Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?BUY0.9399999999$158.83
01-17 07:09Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?SELL0.977$158.82
01-09 14:04Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?BUY0.9579999998$155.73
01-09 14:03Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?SELL0.85$155.74
12-15 14:09Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?BUY0.8$146.58