gud4you
0xb26743e27805335cf403e6af1b814803d9fe8426
- Realised P&L
- $-665.63
- Volume
- $23.7k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $40.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.049 | 0.009 | $40.70 | −$193.29 |
| Will Putin remain President of Russia through June? · No | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.87 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$60.12at 0.970Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
- +$47.01at 0.770US government shutdown Saturday?
- +$37.86at 0.890Will Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?
- +$28.78at 0.431Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$22.93at 0.720Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-06 16:58 | Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.048867829 | $234.00 |
| 02-06 16:57 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SELL | 0.72 | $234.79 |
| 02-02 06:33 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.7033932302 | $229.38 |
| 02-02 06:28 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.8 | $229.38 |
| 02-01 06:02 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.7199999993 | $206.45 |
| 02-01 06:01 | US government shutdown Saturday? | SELL | 0.997 | $206.45 |
| 01-26 08:57 | US government shutdown Saturday? | BUY | 0.7699999992 | $159.45 |
| 01-26 08:57 | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.84 | $159.45 |
| 01-26 08:54 | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8499999995 | $161.35 |
| 01-26 08:53 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | SELL | 0.955 | $161.36 |
| 01-17 07:10 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.9399999999 | $158.83 |
| 01-17 07:09 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.977 | $158.82 |
| 01-09 14:04 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9579999998 | $155.73 |
| 01-09 14:03 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $155.74 |
| 12-15 14:09 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $146.58 |