PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xb263Ba4906E538a881bcD5d54f37cf08447F4cdF-1775758747511

0xb263ba4906e538a881bcd5d54f37cf08447f4cdf

Realised P&L
$253.87
Volume
$5.2k
Markets traded
8
Open portfolio
$1.8k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.9%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded8
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration69.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · Yes0.1900.185$896.83−$23.78
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November? · Yes0.0360.033$454.64−$45.35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November? · Yes0.0280.025$436.72−$63.27
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage · Natus Vincere0.4680.000$0.00−$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 15:47Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?BUY0.1899045362$920.61
11-01 15:47Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November?BUY0.0362923648$500.00
11-01 15:46Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?BUY0.0280502828$500.00
04-21 09:51Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?SELL0.15$38.19
04-21 06:59Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageBUY0.4599999958$48.38
04-20 17:46Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageSELL0.999$377.22
04-20 05:55Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageBUY0.3899999991$144.52
04-20 05:50Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?BUY0.1899999975$46.76
04-14 11:42Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?SELL0.01$15.01
04-13 08:58Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?SELL0.995$350.35
04-10 12:03Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?BUY0.016$23.03
04-10 11:54Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY0.7099999993$250.00