0xb263Ba4906E538a881bcD5d54f37cf08447F4cdF-1775758747511
0xb263ba4906e538a881bcd5d54f37cf08447f4cdf
- Realised P&L
- $253.87
- Volume
- $5.2k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $1.8k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration69.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.185 | $896.83 | −$23.78 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.033 | $454.64 | −$45.35 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.025 | $436.72 | −$63.27 |
| Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage · Natus Vincere | 0.468 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$227.20at 0.397Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
- +$100.35at 0.710Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$-10.58at 0.017Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
- +$-13.10at 0.196Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 15:47 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.1899045362 | $920.61 |
| 11-01 15:47 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November? | BUY | 0.0362923648 | $500.00 |
| 11-01 15:46 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November? | BUY | 0.0280502828 | $500.00 |
| 04-21 09:51 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April? | SELL | 0.15 | $38.19 |
| 04-21 06:59 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | BUY | 0.4599999958 | $48.38 |
| 04-20 17:46 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | SELL | 0.999 | $377.22 |
| 04-20 05:55 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | BUY | 0.3899999991 | $144.52 |
| 04-20 05:50 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April? | BUY | 0.1899999975 | $46.76 |
| 04-14 11:42 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April? | SELL | 0.01 | $15.01 |
| 04-13 08:58 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | SELL | 0.995 | $350.35 |
| 04-10 12:03 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April? | BUY | 0.016 | $23.03 |
| 04-10 11:54 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | BUY | 0.7099999993 | $250.00 |