sdfer4ddew
0xb263b9d77f744e26dc26de3f1cf039508e14bb32
- Realised P&L
- $871.81
- Volume
- $34.3k
- Markets traded
- 268
- Open portfolio
- $144.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded268
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.735 | $96.56 | +$28.24 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes | 0.475 | 0.960 | $36.38 | +$18.38 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres · Milwaukee Brewers | 0.450 | 0.455 | $11.83 | +$0.13 |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians · Cincinnati Reds | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox · Baltimore Orioles | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.25 |
| Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox · Boston Red Sox | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.70 |
| Rockets vs. Thunder · Thunder | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$111.40 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers · Detroit Tigers | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.36 |
| Sabres vs. Canadiens · Canadiens | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.35 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds · Cincinnati Reds | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.80 |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals · Kansas City Royals | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.48 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins · Pittsburgh Pirates | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.00 |
| New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates · Pittsburgh Pirates | 0.000 | 0.000 | $0.00 | +$0.00 |
| Rams vs. Eagles · Eagles | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.59 |
| Bulls vs. Nets · Bulls | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$263.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$317.55at 0.570Kings vs. Golden Knights
- +$309.21at 0.440Rangers vs. Flyers
- +$294.00at 0.510Grizzlies vs. Pacers
- +$260.95at 0.580Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazers
- +$215.85at 0.410Hurricanes vs. Capitals
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 06:30 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.45 | $11.70 |
| 10-03 09:04 | New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.45 | $7.20 |
| 10-02 08:05 | Patriots vs. Bills | BUY | 0.75 | $6.00 |
| 10-01 08:40 | Rams vs. Eagles | BUY | 0.4 | $4.59 |
| 09-30 07:26 | Jaguars vs. Bengals | BUY | 0.44 | $9.68 |
| 09-30 07:17 | Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.42 | $8.40 |
| 09-29 06:13 | Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.54 | $10.80 |
| 09-28 10:59 | Eagles vs. Bears | BUY | 0.66 | $18.48 |
| 09-27 05:43 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies | BUY | 0.57 | $14.25 |
| 09-26 05:55 | Patriots vs. Jaguars | BUY | 0.6 | $12.60 |
| 09-26 05:55 | Jets vs. Lions | BUY | 0.7299999744 | $6.00 |
| 09-25 06:55 | Cincinnati Reds vs. Toronto Blue Jays | BUY | 0.46 | $10.58 |
| 09-24 08:22 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.64 | $10.24 |
| 09-24 08:22 | New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers | BUY | 0.55 | $9.90 |
| 09-23 10:31 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.6 | $6.00 |