PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

sdfer4ddew

0xb263b9d77f744e26dc26de3f1cf039508e14bb32

Realised P&L
$871.81
Volume
$34.3k
Markets traded
268
Open portfolio
$144.77

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded268
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration66.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5200.735$96.56+$28.24
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.4750.960$36.38+$18.38
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres · Milwaukee Brewers0.4500.455$11.83+$0.13
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians · Cincinnati Reds0.4000.000$0.00−$4.00
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox · Baltimore Orioles0.4500.000$0.00−$11.25
Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox · Boston Red Sox0.5700.000$0.00−$5.70
Rockets vs. Thunder · Thunder0.5700.000$0.00−$111.40
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers · Detroit Tigers0.5300.000$0.00−$6.36
Sabres vs. Canadiens · Canadiens0.5500.000$0.00−$8.35
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds · Cincinnati Reds0.3200.000$0.00−$4.80
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals · Kansas City Royals0.4600.000$0.00−$17.48
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins · Pittsburgh Pirates0.5200.000$0.00−$13.00
New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates · Pittsburgh Pirates0.0000.000$0.00+$0.00
Rams vs. Eagles · Eagles0.4000.000$0.00−$4.59
Bulls vs. Nets · Bulls0.6200.000$0.00−$263.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 06:30Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego PadresBUY0.45$11.70
10-03 09:04New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay RaysBUY0.45$7.20
10-02 08:05Patriots vs. BillsBUY0.75$6.00
10-01 08:40Rams vs. EaglesBUY0.4$4.59
09-30 07:26Jaguars vs. BengalsBUY0.44$9.68
09-30 07:17Chicago White Sox vs. Houston AstrosBUY0.42$8.40
09-29 06:13Chicago White Sox vs. Houston AstrosBUY0.54$10.80
09-28 10:59Eagles vs. BearsBUY0.66$18.48
09-27 05:43Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia PhilliesBUY0.57$14.25
09-26 05:55Patriots vs. JaguarsBUY0.6$12.60
09-26 05:55Jets vs. LionsBUY0.7299999744$6.00
09-25 06:55Cincinnati Reds vs. Toronto Blue JaysBUY0.46$10.58
09-24 08:22Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado RockiesBUY0.64$10.24
09-24 08:22New York Mets vs. Texas RangersBUY0.55$9.90
09-23 10:31Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado RockiesBUY0.6$6.00