Sainting
0xb2639b17fa8206430cf352aa10f05421f76d777f
- Realised P&L
- $-52.53
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $73.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Turkey rejoin the F-35 program by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.116 | 0.170 | $73.42 | +$23.42 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET · Up | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET · Up | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET · Down | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 15? · Yes | 0.051 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET · Up | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET · Up | 0.780 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET · Up | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET · Down | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET · Down | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET · Up | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.12at 0.366Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
- +$15.08at 0.507Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
- +$13.49at 0.190Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
- +$12.17at 0.497Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
- +$11.32at 0.577Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-30 21:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | BUY | 0.3499999562 | $4.00 |
| 08-30 21:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET | BUY | 0.7399999457 | $3.00 |
| 07-29 12:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $5.00 |
| 07-29 12:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | BUY | 0.429999991 | $12.00 |
| 07-29 12:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | BUY | 0.03 | $3.00 |
| 07-28 23:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET | BUY | 0.4799999851 | $11.62 |
| 07-28 23:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET | BUY | 0.1399999888 | $10.00 |
| 07-27 17:25 | Will Turkey rejoin the F-35 program by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.115776816 | $50.00 |
| 07-18 19:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.6 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 17:22 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET | BUY | 0.3699999771 | $10.00 |
| 07-16 17:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $15.00 |
| 07-16 16:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET | BUY | 0.7799999938 | $20.00 |
| 07-16 16:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET | BUY | 0.7170243429 | $20.00 |
| 07-16 16:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | BUY | 0.4899999977 | $15.00 |
| 07-16 16:07 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |