PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

pp2223

0xb26312b4e42b7ee92186ca4d412374c2ea056484

Realised P&L
$-278.10
Volume
$110.1k
Markets traded
44
Open portfolio
$4.8k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded44
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration50.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.7410.807$3.2k+$264.50
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.2900.715$683.11+$406.05
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.1250.071$284.00−$215.99
Will the Aave V3 USDC supply APY hit 10% in 2026? · No0.7880.710$177.50−$19.50
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.2050.053$166.08−$471.07
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? · No0.3550.101$126.25−$317.66
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No0.6100.050$55.11−$623.83
Will Hyperliquid dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1300.065$32.50−$32.50
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? · No0.2500.039$19.50−$105.50
Will UNI dip to $4.00 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1510.130$18.61−$3.03
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? · Yes0.2050.023$11.50−$91.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June? · No0.3500.000$0.00−$700.00
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.1130.000$0.00−$112.66
Will UNI reach $9.50 by December 31, 2026? · No0.1290.000$0.00−$26.88
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June? · No0.4200.000$0.00−$840.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 09:51Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.0379537256$75.46
10-24 15:10Will UNI dip to $4.00 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1290909091$8.52
10-21 12:58Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.7375062$737.51
10-18 00:45Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?SELL0.1642474286$57.49
10-15 23:55Will the Aave V3 USDC supply APY hit 10% in 2026?BUY0.788$197.00
10-14 13:40Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?SELL0.24$25.20
10-12 23:23Will UNI dip to $4.00 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.26$68.64
10-10 13:31Will UNI dip to $4.00 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.26$5.20
10-09 11:17Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.799$799.00
10-07 23:14Will UNI dip to $4.00 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.2679192033$76.13
10-07 14:55Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.8$800.00
10-07 14:52Will UNI dip to $4.00 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.17$136.00
09-30 16:28Over $40M committed to the Jumper public sale?BUY0.3685713265$51.60
09-28 10:34Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.3967575$317.41
09-24 07:23Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.253183875$202.55
Trader pp2223 · PolyBot Pro