pp2223
0xb26312b4e42b7ee92186ca4d412374c2ea056484
- Realised P&L
- $-278.10
- Volume
- $110.1k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $4.8k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.353Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$278.03at 0.490Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 242.5
- +$246.30at 0.501Spread: 76ers (-6.5)
- +$145.55at 0.865MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
- +$143.42at 0.498Will UNI reach $14.00 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 09:51 | Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0379537256 | $75.46 |
| 10-24 15:10 | Will UNI dip to $4.00 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1290909091 | $8.52 |
| 10-21 12:58 | Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7375062 | $737.51 |
| 10-18 00:45 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | SELL | 0.1642474286 | $57.49 |
| 10-15 23:55 | Will the Aave V3 USDC supply APY hit 10% in 2026? | BUY | 0.788 | $197.00 |
| 10-14 13:40 | Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.24 | $25.20 |
| 10-12 23:23 | Will UNI dip to $4.00 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $68.64 |
| 10-10 13:31 | Will UNI dip to $4.00 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $5.20 |
| 10-09 11:17 | Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.799 | $799.00 |
| 10-07 23:14 | Will UNI dip to $4.00 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2679192033 | $76.13 |
| 10-07 14:55 | Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8 | $800.00 |
| 10-07 14:52 | Will UNI dip to $4.00 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $136.00 |
| 09-30 16:28 | Over $40M committed to the Jumper public sale? | BUY | 0.3685713265 | $51.60 |
| 09-28 10:34 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.3967575 | $317.41 |
| 09-24 07:23 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.253183875 | $202.55 |