Hit-man
0xb260e618bd5b0351f54cbb6b2370def471af715a
- Realised P&L
- $33.5k
- Volume
- $1.89M
- Markets traded
- 3,190
- Open portfolio
- $3.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded3,190
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration50.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.2kat 0.416Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?
- +$3.7kat 0.624Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
- +$2.7kat 0.368Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 57 million views on day 3?
- +$2.6kat 0.479Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
- +$2.0kat 0.362Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 07:07 | Will MrBeast say "Chandler" during his next YouTube video? | BUY | 0.84 | $21.13 |
| 08-07 04:02 | Will MrBeast say "Subscribe" or "Subscribed" during his next YouTube video? | BUY | 0.8299999979 | $40.00 |
| 08-06 13:06 | Will MrBeast say "Subscribe" or "Subscribed" during his next YouTube video? | BUY | 0.8239576371 | $15.00 |
| 08-06 10:48 | Will MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next YouTube video? | BUY | 0.82 | $40.47 |
| 08-06 08:43 | Will MrBeast say "Wife" during his next YouTube video? | BUY | 0.92 | $10.15 |
| 08-06 07:49 | Will MrBeast say "Wife" during his next YouTube video? | BUY | 0.9099999992 | $22.00 |
| 08-06 07:16 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.37 | $5.55 |
| 08-06 05:39 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.3699999894 | $15.00 |
| 08-06 05:39 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.3603636744 | $37.00 |
| 08-06 05:39 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.18 | $18.00 |
| 08-06 04:00 | Will MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next YouTube video? | BUY | 0.7621420472 | $29.00 |
| 08-06 03:07 | Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1? | SELL | 0.033 | $3.30 |
| 08-06 02:17 | Will MrBeast say "Chandler" during his next YouTube video? | BUY | 0.8529411464 | $10.00 |
| 08-06 02:14 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.3479017178 | $4.00 |
| 08-06 02:12 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.34 | $35.16 |