3musketeers
0xb2516845269865081e24f54708f4127d60de6f5b
- Realised P&L
- $46.9k
- Volume
- $1.61M
- Markets traded
- 659
- Open portfolio
- $29.6k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded659
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$38.0kat 0.698Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
- +$9.4kat 0.275Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$6.5kat 0.580Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?
- +$4.2kat 0.627Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$4.0kat 0.623Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 17:52 | Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $48.00 |
| 09-17 04:56 | Will Everton FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $125.00 |
| 09-17 04:48 | Will Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.26 | $130.00 |
| 09-16 03:13 | Will Fleetwood Town FC vs. Sheffield United FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $25.00 |
| 09-15 20:28 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.57 | $414.96 |
| 09-15 18:55 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.71 | $182.47 |
| 09-15 18:55 | Ipswich Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.58 | $58.00 |
| 09-14 20:16 | Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-14? | BUY | 0.57 | $57.00 |
| 09-14 20:14 | Will Villarreal CF vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw? | SELL | 0.27 | $27.00 |
| 09-14 19:44 | Will Villarreal CF vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $25.00 |
| 09-14 19:43 | Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw? | BUY | 0.23 | $23.00 |
| 09-14 18:24 | Will Leeds United FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.28 | $140.00 |
| 09-14 18:19 | Will Leeds United FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.28 | $140.00 |
| 09-13 17:03 | Will Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.29 | $72.55 |
| 09-13 16:50 | Will Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.31 | $113.71 |