PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

dimby

0xb249ef85eb9760b069b7fd105730a8442dec70b5

Realised P&L
$37.14
Volume
$7.0k
Markets traded
141
Open portfolio
$13.15

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded141
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration49.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.3800.455$4.55+$0.75
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0500.086$1.71+$0.71
US congress stock trading ban before 2027? · Yes0.0900.135$1.50+$0.50
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1000.135$1.35+$0.35
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0500.051$1.03+$0.03
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? · Yes0.1360.096$0.71$0.29
Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026? · Yes0.3300.135$0.68$0.97
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1700.065$0.65$1.05
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto · Something0.0800.033$0.41$0.59
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.2500.055$0.28$0.97
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? · Yes0.1400.022$0.22$1.18
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? · Yes0.3000.018$0.06$0.94
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 3? · Yes0.0400.001$0.01$0.99
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 3? · Yes0.4400.001$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 02:12Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 3?BUY0.4399998064$1.00
08-03 02:12Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 3?BUY0.04$1.00
07-27 03:30Will Trump say "State of the Art" in July?BUY0.1199998992$1.00
07-27 03:30Will Trump say "Six Seven" in July?BUY0.1499998875$1.00
07-20 05:52Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?BUY0.3299999922$20.00
07-09 06:36US congress stock trading ban before 2027?BUY0.089999919$1.00
07-09 06:34Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?BUY0.1359998858$1.00
06-15 00:55UFC Freedom 250: Weather Delay?BUY0.2799998432$1.00
06-15 00:31Will Trump say "UFC" 3+ times during UFC 250?BUY0.5$1.00
06-01 01:38Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi NakamotoBUY0.08$1.00
06-01 01:33Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY0.4139999536$2.00
06-01 01:32Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?BUY0.54$1.00
05-29 20:33Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL0.425$10.81
05-22 22:35Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?BUY0.018$0.27
05-22 22:33Will Trump attend his son's wedding?BUY0.05$1.00