dimby
0xb249ef85eb9760b069b7fd105730a8442dec70b5
- Realised P&L
- $37.14
- Volume
- $7.0k
- Markets traded
- 141
- Open portfolio
- $13.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded141
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$40.61at 0.330Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?
- +$19.30at 0.090Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C on April 6?
- +$15.64at 0.060Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?
- +$13.80at 0.300Will there be at least 600 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?
- +$11.33at 0.150Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 02:12 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.4399998064 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 02:12 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 03:30 | Will Trump say "State of the Art" in July? | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 03:30 | Will Trump say "Six Seven" in July? | BUY | 0.1499998875 | $1.00 |
| 07-20 05:52 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23? | BUY | 0.3299999922 | $20.00 |
| 07-09 06:36 | US congress stock trading ban before 2027? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 07-09 06:34 | Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? | BUY | 0.1359998858 | $1.00 |
| 06-15 00:55 | UFC Freedom 250: Weather Delay? | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 06-15 00:31 | Will Trump say "UFC" 3+ times during UFC 250? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 06-01 01:38 | Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 06-01 01:33 | Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.4139999536 | $2.00 |
| 06-01 01:32 | Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | BUY | 0.54 | $1.00 |
| 05-29 20:33 | Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | SELL | 0.425 | $10.81 |
| 05-22 22:35 | Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask? | BUY | 0.018 | $0.27 |
| 05-22 22:33 | Will Trump attend his son's wedding? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |