adavanveen
0xb244e0f8d4a8cde54958cc4024c8531dd75ec59f
- Realised P&L
- $-3.12
- Volume
- $870.66
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $43.66
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration94.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026? · No | 0.240 | 0.335 | $41.36 | +$11.73 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 18, 2026? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.009 | $1.97 | −$0.03 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 18, 2026? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.003 | $0.20 | −$1.80 |
| Will Z.ai have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.001 | $0.13 | −$1.87 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 16, 2026? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 18:00 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.0245033111 | $2.00 |
| 10-16 17:59 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 17:58 | Will Z.ai have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12? | BUY | 0.0156171507 | $2.00 |
| 10-16 16:08 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.0250466011 | $2.00 |
| 10-16 16:08 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.0096307372 | $2.00 |
| 10-16 15:15 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999987 | $29.63 |