PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

adavanveen

0xb244e0f8d4a8cde54958cc4024c8531dd75ec59f

Realised P&L
$-3.12
Volume
$870.66
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$43.66

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
CautionOpen concentration94.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026? · No0.2400.335$41.36+$11.73
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 18, 2026? · Yes0.0100.009$1.97−$0.03
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 18, 2026? · Yes0.0250.003$0.20−$1.80
Will Z.ai have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12? · Yes0.0160.001$0.13−$1.87
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00−$2.00
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 16, 2026? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$1.00

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 18:00Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 18, 2026?BUY0.0245033111$2.00
10-16 17:59Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 16, 2026?BUY0.004$1.00
10-16 17:58Will Z.ai have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?BUY0.0156171507$2.00
10-16 16:08Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?BUY0.0250466011$2.00
10-16 16:08Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 18, 2026?BUY0.0096307372$2.00
10-16 15:15Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?BUY0.2399999987$29.63