Paulie8
0xb244c12b6cbb01dcc0933e70b66daf18bc0b7ed9
- Realised P&L
- $-14.98
- Volume
- $72.5k
- Markets traded
- 520
- Open portfolio
- $183.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded520
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$96.69at 0.508Lecornu out as French PM by October 31?
- +$77.81at 0.144Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$39.16at 0.236Aspinall vs. Gane
- +$35.39at 0.070Next French Prime Minister appointed by October 10?
- +$27.20at 0.155Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 18:01 | Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.6099999488 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 14:48 | Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 14:47 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.8689999896 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 22:08 | Will Rodri finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.1399999963 | $3.00 |
| 10-06 22:07 | Ballon d'Or 2026: Ousmane Dembélé or Khvicha Kvaratskhelia to finish higher? | BUY | 0.649999974 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 22:06 | Ballon d'Or 2026: Rodri or Lionel Messi to finish higher? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $3.00 |
| 10-06 22:05 | Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.7799999813 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 22:00 | Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.3699999867 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 21:58 | Ballon d'Or 2026: Rodri or Lionel Messi to finish higher? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $2.00 |
| 10-06 21:57 | Will Rodri finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $3.00 |
| 10-06 21:56 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.4559999701 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 21:33 | Argentina vs. Benin: Benin O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 21:33 | Argentina vs. Benin: Benin O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 21:32 | Argentina vs. Benin: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 21:32 | Argentina vs. Benin: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |