lolomgggty
0xb242190d0b440b508aed93a963dbbd603890eb89
- Realised P&L
- $-7.8k
- Volume
- $779.6k
- Markets traded
- 750
- Open portfolio
- $58.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded750
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$596.40at 0.205Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$591.61at 0.321Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 1?
- +$585.43at 0.512US x Iran ceasefire by May 15?
- +$533.16at 0.773Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$452.02at 0.042Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 14:53 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL | 0.87 | $34.45 |
| 07-30 14:53 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.08 | $19.12 |
| 07-30 14:53 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.48 | $29.46 |
| 07-30 14:53 | US x Denmark Military clash before 2027? | SELL | 0.979 | $44.49 |
| 07-30 14:52 | Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.58 | $68.41 |
| 07-30 14:52 | Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $78.99 |
| 07-30 14:52 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.239 | $211.31 |
| 07-30 14:52 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $178.10 |
| 07-30 14:52 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $241.14 |
| 07-22 01:05 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | SELL | 0.87 | $472.82 |
| 07-13 09:41 | Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | SELL | 0.968 | $24.20 |
| 07-11 20:42 | Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.6299999982 | $50.00 |
| 07-11 20:42 | Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time? | BUY | 0.75 | $50.00 |
| 07-11 20:25 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2224999984 | $100.00 |
| 07-11 19:59 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2299999972 | $60.00 |