goems
0xb2309c08b6a8aa7f7beef482d8dc3b7006c40370
- Realised P&L
- $-196.06
- Volume
- $4.3k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $2.21
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.054 | $2.21 | −$18.09 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET · Down | 0.357 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.75 |
| Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$140.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET · Up | 0.539 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.04 |
| Penguin listed on Binance by March 31? · Yes | 0.319 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$74.86 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $100 on February 3? · No | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET · Up | 0.373 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.65 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$132.94at 0.610Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$47.53at 0.600Will the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?
- +$43.97at 0.289Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by February 15?
- +$18.67at 0.883Solana above $150 on September 27?
- +$15.50at 0.745Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-23 09:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET | BUY | 0.5299999936 | $24.22 |
| 03-23 09:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET | SELL | 0.16 | $5.66 |
| 03-23 09:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET | BUY | 0.2799999854 | $9.80 |
| 03-23 09:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET | SELL | 0.3408486468 | $10.20 |
| 03-23 09:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET | BUY | 0.3299999812 | $9.76 |
| 03-23 09:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $30.42 |
| 03-23 09:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $30.15 |
| 03-23 08:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET | BUY | 0.2099999861 | $9.86 |
| 03-23 08:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET | BUY | 0.179999987 | $9.89 |
| 03-23 08:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET | BUY | 0.3399999857 | $9.75 |
| 02-03 09:40 | Will the price of Solana be above $100 on February 3? | BUY | 0.14 | $7.00 |
| 02-03 09:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 3? | SELL | 0.4364109963 | $67.15 |
| 02-03 09:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 3? | BUY | 0.4156490748 | $63.96 |
| 02-03 08:44 | Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by February 15? | SELL | 0.925239838 | $63.96 |
| 01-28 07:54 | Penguin listed on Binance by March 31? | BUY | 0.3187227249 | $74.86 |