crbg
0xb22ad59c42a5bf6c268e9b1df7c1fd4044d72d73
- Realised P&L
- $17.92
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $14.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-10-15? · Yes | 0.830 | 1.000 | $2.41 | +$0.41 |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-10-15? · Yes | 0.840 | 1.000 | $2.38 | +$0.38 |
| Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-15? · Yes | 0.840 | 1.000 | $2.38 | +$0.38 |
| Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-15? · Yes | 0.440 | 1.000 | $2.27 | +$1.27 |
| Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-10-15? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.995 | $1.91 | +$0.91 |
| Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-10-15? · Yes | 0.540 | 1.000 | $1.85 | +$0.85 |
| Will Jagiellonia Białystok win on 2026-10-15? · Yes | 0.680 | 1.000 | $1.47 | +$0.47 |
| Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-10-15? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-10-15? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will NEC win on 2026-10-15? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.06at 0.720Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-14?
- +$6.08at 0.502Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-16?
- +$5.99at 0.769Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13?
- +$2.20at 0.885Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-17?
- +$2.09at 0.331Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 20:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 20:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 10-15 19:52 | Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-10-15? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.36 |
| 10-15 18:55 | Will Jagiellonia Białystok win on 2026-10-15? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 18:55 | Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-10-15? | BUY | 0.8299999792 | $2.00 |
| 10-15 18:55 | Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-15? | BUY | 0.84 | $2.00 |
| 10-15 18:55 | Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-10-15? | BUY | 0.84 | $2.00 |
| 10-15 18:55 | Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-10-15? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 18:55 | Will NEC win on 2026-10-15? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 18:55 | Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-10-15? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 18:54 | Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-15? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 18:54 | Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-10-15? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 18:54 | Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-10-15? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 18:53 | Will AZ win on 2026-10-15? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.35 |
| 10-15 18:52 | Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.51 |