sbel
0xb22682e5efaaa5ae3f48c3b727cf78ae57c04163
- Realised P&L
- $-125.89
- Volume
- $312.0k
- Markets traded
- 2,591
- Open portfolio
- $425.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,591
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$252.17at 0.429Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 10?
- +$174.54at 0.232Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 August 31-September 6?
- +$159.64at 0.482Will Como 1907 win on 2026-08-22?
- +$126.83at 0.251Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?
- +$120.50at 0.227Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 17:05 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 10? | BUY | 0.7299999993 | $184.47 |
| 09-09 17:05 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on September 10? | BUY | 0.5362655891 | $184.47 |
| 09-09 17:05 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 10? | BUY | 0.796975752 | $184.47 |
| 09-09 17:05 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.64 | $184.47 |
| 09-09 17:05 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.598923213 | $162.47 |
| 09-09 17:05 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.6117498167 | $184.47 |
| 09-09 17:05 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.41733653 | $184.47 |
| 09-09 17:05 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.3590007253 | $184.47 |
| 09-09 17:05 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.3521287845 | $184.47 |
| 09-09 15:28 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 10? | BUY | 0.3299999989 | $25.00 |
| 09-07 03:15 | FC Porto vs. Manchester City FC: Neither team to score first? | BUY | 0.9399999992 | $46.98 |
| 09-07 03:15 | Will Liverpool FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7699999996 | $150.00 |
| 09-07 03:15 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999997 | $160.28 |
| 09-07 03:15 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $117.09 |
| 09-07 03:15 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.95 | $7.60 |