PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Full-Realization

0xb223b08aa8461c1bbff4344fb31a4baea31e156b

Realised P&L
$-2.6k
Volume
$180.1k
Markets traded
126
Open portfolio
$2.2k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded126
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration64.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration79.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? · Yes0.3000.360$1.8k+$294.00
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2100.295$354.00+$102.00
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0050.005$55.25−$1.27
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0060.002$32.61−$95.77
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? · Yes0.1000.065$3.90−$2.10
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1700.190$1.12+$0.12
Iran leadership change by November 30? · Yes0.0900.085$0.94−$0.06
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0560.047$0.83−$0.17
Will Nagoya Grampus win on 2026-05-30? · Yes0.5810.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00−$13.00
Military action against Iran ends on April 14, 2026? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$49.47
Military action against Iran ends on April 8, 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$2.00
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$96.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET · Down0.3300.000$0.00−$5.50
T20 Asian Games, Women, Qualifier: Malaysia vs Nepal · Nepal0.6900.000$0.00−$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 14:04Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.45$784.35
10-29 14:03Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.2325752009$232.96
10-27 07:27Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.5488520953$233.78
10-27 07:25Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.27$470.61
10-25 15:59Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?BUY0.1699999983$1.00
10-25 15:58Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.0564977337$1.00
10-25 15:57Iran leadership change by November 30?BUY0.0899999928$1.00
10-06 06:34Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026?BUY0.21$63.50
09-17 08:15Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?SELL0.0245134784$65.50
09-17 08:03Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?SELL0.026$2.04
09-10 06:45Iran full airspace closure by December 31?BUY0.3$637.67
08-16 09:01Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.0059228703$23.88
08-16 09:01Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.005$20.25
08-16 08:57Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.0073600224$26.44
08-16 08:55Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.0059310345$17.20