Full-Realization
0xb223b08aa8461c1bbff4344fb31a4baea31e156b
- Realised P&L
- $-2.6k
- Volume
- $180.1k
- Markets traded
- 126
- Open portfolio
- $2.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded126
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$313.74at 0.270Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$73.25at 0.107Lighter Airdrop on December 30?
- +$16.64at 0.477Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
- +$11.99at 0.500Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.0% or higher on January 6, 2022?
- +$10.96at 0.745Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2021 Speed Chess Championship Main Event?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 14:04 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.45 | $784.35 |
| 10-29 14:03 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.2325752009 | $232.96 |
| 10-27 07:27 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.5488520953 | $233.78 |
| 10-27 07:25 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.27 | $470.61 |
| 10-25 15:59 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $1.00 |
| 10-25 15:58 | Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0564977337 | $1.00 |
| 10-25 15:57 | Iran leadership change by November 30? | BUY | 0.0899999928 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 06:34 | Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $63.50 |
| 09-17 08:15 | Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.0245134784 | $65.50 |
| 09-17 08:03 | Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.026 | $2.04 |
| 09-10 06:45 | Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | BUY | 0.3 | $637.67 |
| 08-16 09:01 | Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0059228703 | $23.88 |
| 08-16 09:01 | Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $20.25 |
| 08-16 08:57 | Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0073600224 | $26.44 |
| 08-16 08:55 | Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0059310345 | $17.20 |