bikas
0xb223b08aa8461c1bbff4344fb31a4baea31e156b
- Realised P&L
- $-2.6k
- Volume
- $169.9k
- Markets traded
- 119
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded119
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$73.25at 0.107Lighter Airdrop on December 30?
- +$16.64at 0.477Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
- +$10.37at 0.637Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?
- +$9.92at 0.345Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
- +$9.35at 0.830Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 06:45 | Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | BUY | 0.3 | $637.67 |
| 08-16 09:01 | Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0059228703 | $23.88 |
| 08-16 09:01 | Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $20.25 |
| 08-16 08:57 | Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0073600224 | $26.44 |
| 08-16 08:55 | Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0059310345 | $17.20 |
| 08-16 08:54 | Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0363592207 | $100.00 |
| 08-12 06:27 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $6.00 |
| 08-12 06:27 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | SELL | 0.016 | $6.00 |
| 08-12 06:24 | Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $16.91 |
| 08-12 06:22 | Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $9.68 |
| 07-28 07:19 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | SELL | 0.004 | $6.67 |
| 07-23 13:21 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | BUY | 0.0239999988 | $20.00 |
| 07-23 13:21 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $30.00 |
| 07-17 05:12 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | BUY | 0.0359999977 | $15.00 |
| 07-09 13:56 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | BUY | 0.0239520958 | $10.00 |