PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

bikas

0xb223b08aa8461c1bbff4344fb31a4baea31e156b

Realised P&L
$-2.6k
Volume
$169.9k
Markets traded
119
Open portfolio
$1.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded119
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration72.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? · Yes0.3000.245$1.2k$269.50
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0060.013$293.45+$165.07
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0050.008$88.39+$31.88
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0360.028$75.63$24.37
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? · Yes0.1000.075$4.50$1.50
Will Nagoya Grampus win on 2026-05-30? · Yes0.5810.000$0.00$5.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00$13.00
Military action against Iran ends on April 14, 2026? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$49.47
Military action against Iran ends on April 8, 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET · Down0.3300.000$0.00$5.50
T20 Asian Games, Women, Qualifier: Malaysia vs Nepal · Nepal0.6900.000$0.00$3.00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$28.00
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET · Up0.0620.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET · Down0.5100.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET · Up0.2800.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 06:45Iran full airspace closure by December 31?BUY0.3$637.67
08-16 09:01Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.0059228703$23.88
08-16 09:01Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.005$20.25
08-16 08:57Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.0073600224$26.44
08-16 08:55Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.0059310345$17.20
08-16 08:54Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.0363592207$100.00
08-12 06:27Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?BUY0.1$6.00
08-12 06:27Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?SELL0.016$6.00
08-12 06:24Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.002$16.91
08-12 06:22Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.004$9.68
07-28 07:19Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?SELL0.004$6.67
07-23 13:21Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?BUY0.0239999988$20.00
07-23 13:21Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.08$30.00
07-17 05:12Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?BUY0.0359999977$15.00
07-09 13:56Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?BUY0.0239520958$10.00