G00dboy
0xb21e12023fb0e7bdc5cd6a9372d6de4ba32499bb
- Realised P&L
- $-769.70
- Volume
- $2.46M
- Markets traded
- 3,582
- Open portfolio
- $251.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,582
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration9.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portugal vs. Wales: O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.970 | 1.000 | $149.93 | +$4.42 |
| Andorra vs. Malta: O/U 5.5 · Under | 0.998 | 1.000 | $102.01 | +$0.15 |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET · Up | 0.977 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$39.09 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET · Down | 0.970 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$291.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 4AM ET · Up | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin above 78,000 on May 2, 12PM ET? · No | 0.960 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$96.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET · Up | 0.990 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$693.99 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| France vs. England: O/U 6.5 · Under | 0.950 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.9k |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET · Down | 0.988 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$411.39 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.60 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? · No | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$32.94 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$156.15at 0.932Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 0.5
- +$97.45at 0.861Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
- +$96.27at 0.719Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$83.82at 0.985Bitcoin Up or Down on June 1?
- +$61.70at 0.970Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 5.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 18:54 | Portugal vs. Wales: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.97 | $145.50 |
| 09-24 17:55 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 24, 1PM ET | BUY | 0.99672 | $124.59 |
| 09-24 17:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 1PM ET | BUY | 0.998 | $9.96 |
| 09-24 16:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $80.40 |
| 09-24 16:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $216.58 |
| 09-24 16:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $216.58 |
| 09-24 15:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 11AM ET | BUY | 0.998 | $119.76 |
| 09-24 14:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $60.66 |
| 09-24 12:25 | Will Korea Republic win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.96 | $96.00 |
| 09-24 10:59 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 24, 6AM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $9.98 |
| 09-24 10:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 6AM ET | BUY | 0.997 | $279.10 |
| 09-24 09:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.9979540863 | $2.2k |
| 09-24 09:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.996 | $29.88 |
| 09-24 09:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.9953835616 | $72.66 |
| 09-24 09:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.995 | $75.88 |