0xb2176f505D4d747b51A595378C1DBEeAB1885383-1722177662952
0xb2176f505d4d747b51a595378c1dbeeab1885383
- Realised P&L
- $346.09
- Volume
- $8.7k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $38.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$119.86at 0.893Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?
- +$116.99at 0.779SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
- +$80.69at 0.380Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
- +$56.25at 0.913SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
- +$42.68at 0.794Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-01 16:14 | Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $120 end of July? | BUY | 0.93 | $9.30 |
| 07-01 03:29 | Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $110 end of July? | BUY | 0.95 | $9.59 |
| 07-01 03:28 | Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $120 end of July? | BUY | 0.9374881741 | $19.82 |
| 06-30 22:43 | Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $140 end of July? | BUY | 0.84 | $11.55 |
| 06-30 22:42 | Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $130 end of July? | BUY | 0.85 | $12.46 |
| 06-23 17:31 | SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month? | BUY | 0.56 | $9.23 |
| 06-23 16:23 | Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30? | BUY | 0.909 | $90.90 |
| 06-23 16:23 | Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30? | BUY | 0.909 | $36.36 |
| 06-23 16:12 | Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30? | BUY | 0.9 | $450.00 |
| 06-22 15:03 | SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month? | BUY | 0.7039414056 | $30.00 |
| 06-22 14:54 | SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month? | BUY | 0.6743822767 | $63.32 |
| 06-22 14:13 | SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month? | SELL | 0.79 | $35.55 |
| 06-22 13:53 | SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month? | SELL | 0.8 | $20.22 |
| 06-22 13:51 | SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month? | SELL | 0.8 | $111.78 |
| 06-20 03:35 | SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month? | BUY | 0.76 | $192.99 |