PolyBot

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Traders

0xb2176f505D4d747b51A595378C1DBEeAB1885383-1722177662952

0xb2176f505d4d747b51a595378c1dbeeab1885383

Realised P&L
$346.09
Volume
$8.7k
Markets traded
36
Open portfolio
$38.70

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded36
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample26 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? · Yes0.8800.968$38.70+$3.50
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $120 end of July? · Yes0.9350.000$0.00$29.12
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $150 end of July? · Yes0.4320.000$0.00$23.34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET · Down0.3260.000$0.00$2.35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET · Up0.3970.000$0.00$1.45
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $110 end of July? · Yes0.9500.000$0.00$9.60
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $130 end of July? · Yes0.8500.000$0.00$12.46
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30? · Yes0.1560.000$0.00$35.83
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET · Down0.3260.000$0.00$2.35
Will SpaceX (SPCX) finish week of June 29 above $180? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$11.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET · Up0.5400.000$0.00$14.30
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $140 end of July? · Yes0.8400.000$0.00$11.55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET · Up0.3740.000$0.00$11.32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET · Down0.3970.000$0.00$7.23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET · Down0.3610.000$0.00$3.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-01 16:14Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $120 end of July?BUY0.93$9.30
07-01 03:29Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $110 end of July?BUY0.95$9.59
07-01 03:28Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $120 end of July?BUY0.9374881741$19.82
06-30 22:43Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $140 end of July?BUY0.84$11.55
06-30 22:42Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $130 end of July?BUY0.85$12.46
06-23 17:31SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?BUY0.56$9.23
06-23 16:23Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30?BUY0.909$90.90
06-23 16:23Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30?BUY0.909$36.36
06-23 16:12Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?BUY0.9$450.00
06-22 15:03SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?BUY0.7039414056$30.00
06-22 14:54SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?BUY0.6743822767$63.32
06-22 14:13SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?SELL0.79$35.55
06-22 13:53SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?SELL0.8$20.22
06-22 13:51SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?SELL0.8$111.78
06-20 03:35SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?BUY0.76$192.99