aligagada
0xb216043fd27e14b167884534e60f6cf58f3fe994
- Realised P&L
- $-92.72
- Volume
- $10.6k
- Markets traded
- 122
- Open portfolio
- $70.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded122
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$79.49at 0.314Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 29?
- +$52.98at 0.167Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 27?
- +$31.13at 0.398Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 23?
- +$30.71at 0.578Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 30?
- +$29.22at 0.026Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 06:36 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.80 |
| 08-06 06:34 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.3799999586 | $2.57 |
| 08-06 05:49 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.34 | $8.84 |
| 08-06 05:25 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.2699999246 | $2.47 |
| 08-06 04:07 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.96 |
| 08-06 00:54 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.06 | $2.40 |
| 08-06 00:53 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.43 | $9.28 |
| 08-06 00:40 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.5162420861 | $10.99 |
| 08-05 11:06 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.22 | $1.63 |
| 08-05 11:05 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.66 | $4.88 |
| 08-05 11:05 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.6899999676 | $5.11 |
| 08-05 11:05 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 10:40 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.4199999927 | $11.51 |
| 08-05 06:29 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.9 | $17.03 |
| 08-05 06:29 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.9 | $6.30 |