PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Pexl

0xb212cab89a204299d60a0e939e81ddc096651fa8

Realised P&L
$753.91
Volume
$59.7k
Markets traded
84
Open portfolio
$1.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded84
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration81.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on September 28? · Yes0.9750.998$1.2k+$26.25
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on September 28? · Yes0.9901.000$258.96+$2.46

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 14:31Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on September 28?BUY0.9899999965$256.50
09-28 13:52Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 28?SELL0.998$256.46
09-28 08:54Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on September 28?BUY0.9816186339$462.00
09-28 08:38Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on September 28?BUY0.9527799019$170.00
09-28 08:37Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 28?SELL0.9970279976$632.45
09-28 05:26Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 28?BUY0.9630963319$239.00
09-28 05:14Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 28?BUY0.9687083885$150.00
09-28 04:52Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 28?BUY0.9726021713$225.00
09-28 04:36Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on September 28?BUY0.9735329586$140.00
09-28 04:07Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on September 28?SELL0.999$152.61
09-28 04:06Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on September 28?SELL0.999$316.79
09-28 04:06Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 28?BUY0.972869707$250.00
09-28 04:06Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 27?SELL0.999$415.57
09-28 04:05Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on September 28?BUY0.9783191173$375.00
09-27 21:40Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas AcesBUY0.9895353372$189.00