InteligentBoy
0xb2118e46c69d28b0bc30b664436a0db3819f10b3
- Realised P&L
- $-749.16
- Volume
- $78.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,216
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,216
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration23.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration86.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of October 19 2026? · Yes | 0.496 | 1.000 | $999.50 | +$503.10 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $92.50 Week of October 19 2026? · No | 0.270 | 0.695 | $145.95 | +$89.25 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $95 Week of October 19 2026? · Yes | 0.990 | 0.536 | $5.36 | −$4.54 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$176.06at 0.497Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
- +$145.73at 0.583Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 2?
- +$100.98at 0.495Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
- +$95.00at 0.525Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
- +$62.00at 0.380Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 11:34 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $92.50 Week of October 19 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $56.70 |
| 10-20 11:32 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $95 Week of October 19 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 10-20 08:26 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of October 19 2026? | BUY | 0.4961290323 | $461.40 |
| 05-24 03:54 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 24? | SELL | 0.72 | $40.69 |
| 05-24 00:11 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 24? | BUY | 0.6090304317 | $34.42 |
| 05-24 00:07 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 24? | BUY | 0.9136 | $91.36 |
| 05-23 10:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET | BUY | 0.33 | $3.30 |
| 05-22 07:15 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on May 22? | BUY | 0.9254283519 | $24.09 |
| 05-22 06:04 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on May 22? | BUY | 0.75 | $7.75 |
| 05-21 10:09 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.928 | $92.80 |
| 05-21 01:57 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on May 21? | BUY | 0.946 | $4.73 |
| 05-21 01:24 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on May 21? | BUY | 0.83 | $14.35 |
| 05-21 01:22 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 21? | BUY | 0.928 | $10.21 |
| 05-21 01:20 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 21? | BUY | 0.91 | $6.97 |
| 05-21 01:17 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on May 21? | BUY | 0.933 | $46.65 |