PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

vila

0xb209efa4a44585789e167ef4b9f1415a4f1a2639

Realised P&L
$-272.62
Volume
$34.9k
Markets traded
121
Open portfolio
$30.28

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded121
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027? · Yes0.7420.762$10.28+$0.28
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.5600.575$10.27+$0.27
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.9400.915$9.73$0.27
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of May 25 above $430? · No0.6020.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-08 22:35Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.9099999994$15.00
08-08 22:35Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.9399999774$10.00
08-08 22:35Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.9579999969$10.00
08-08 22:35Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027?BUY0.7419999948$10.00
08-08 22:34Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027?BUY0.5599999776$10.00
08-08 22:34Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.9399999981$10.00
08-08 06:52Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.673$8.26
08-08 06:52Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?SELL0.79$8.87
08-08 06:51Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?SELL0.775$12.49
05-29 00:09Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY0.9699999521$17.00
05-29 00:09Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY0.8519999168$10.00
05-29 00:08Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of May 25 above $430?BUY0.6019998926$5.00
05-29 00:07Iran closes its airspace by May 31?BUY0.9349999991$15.00
05-29 00:06Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.8899999947$10.00
05-29 00:06Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.8145617274$10.00