0xB20124B5156B4aA41c1eA01681edE6AEe4d12766-1769420751260
0xb20124b5156b4aa41c1ea01681ede6aee4d12766
- Realised P&L
- $-11.11
- Volume
- $21.2k
- Markets traded
- 666
- Open portfolio
- $17.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded666
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$51.46at 0.280Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 11?
- +$44.84at 0.411Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 25?
- +$40.90at 0.590Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 11?
- +$29.93at 0.512Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 11?
- +$29.58at 0.509Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 09:29 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on October 11? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 09:27 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on October 11? | SELL | 0.999 | $4.93 |
| 10-11 09:04 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 11? | SELL | 0.999 | $71.51 |
| 10-11 09:02 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 11? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.02 |
| 10-11 07:38 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 11? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 10-10 06:42 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.81 | $4.05 |
| 10-04 07:01 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $32.22 |
| 10-04 06:55 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.9299999997 | $30.00 |
| 10-04 06:09 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $31.54 |
| 10-04 06:02 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $33.49 |
| 10-04 05:56 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.7149666349 | $30.00 |
| 10-04 05:55 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.95 | $30.00 |
| 10-04 05:32 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $31.54 |
| 10-04 05:26 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.95 | $30.00 |
| 10-04 05:02 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $33.30 |